thesis-memo

thesis-memo is a skill for Claude Code from Travisun/Opptrix. It costs 64 tokens per session (958 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A buy-side investment memo that sets out an investment idea, the evidence behind it, the conditions that would disprove it, and what to watch next. Buy-side means research prepared for an investor deciding what to monitor or own.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to structure research on an asset, combine business, financial, price, and news information, and define observation points and a time frame for review.
Why use it?
It turns scattered facts into a testable working argument instead of a vague opinion. The disproof conditions make it easier to notice when the original reasoning no longer holds.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: allowed-tools in frontmatter.

Good fit Use it to structure research on an asset, combine business, financial, price, and news information, and define observation points and a time frame for review.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-memo
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add Travisun/Opptrix --skill thesis-memo
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Travisun/Opptrix

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for thesis-memo

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-memo/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-memo)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-memo"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-memo/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for thesis-memo

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-memo"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-memo.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 64 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 958 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00064 $0.00958
Opus 5 $0.00032 $0.00479
Sonnet 5 $0.00013 $0.00192
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00096

Measured 6d ago against content hash 529495faa6ee, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

thesis-memo scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

packages/agent-skills/builtin/thesis-memo/SKILL.md · 69 lines

What it actually says

投资备忘(Thesis Memo)

何时使用

用户要写一份 Buy-side 风格投资论点备忘(核心论点、支撑证据、证伪条件、观察清单),而非完整尽调长文或投委会正式备忘。边界:全面尽调用 @skill:equity-deep-dive;正式 IC 材料用 @skill:ic-memo;专门攻击多头用 @skill:bear-case

分析架构(投研方法)

  • 问题/假设:核心投资问题是什么?何种证据支持/削弱?
  • 证据清单:概况、财务、快照、资讯、(可选)量化评估
  • 多维交叉验证:叙事 vs 财务趋势;舆情 vs 价格位置;评估分 vs 基本面事实
  • 结论与不确定:论点为工作假设;须写清证伪条件与时间盒
  • 风险与缺口:缺关键财务、资讯噪音、评估工具不可用
  • 事实 | 假设 | 推断 分栏强制

数据维度

维度 取数方向 缺失时
标的 search_instruments / ask_user 先确认
概况 get_instrument_profile 业务章从简
财务 get_instrument_financials 论点降级为定性
行情 get_instrument_snapshot 标明无现价
资讯 get_instrument_news 省略舆情章
量化评估 evaluate_instrument(可选) 跳过,不编造评分
交付 list_web_vendorcreate_web 用户只要口头要点时可跳过

步骤

  1. 确认标的与投资问题(增长/拐点/估值修复等)。
  2. 收集证据:概况/财务/快照/资讯;按需 evaluate_instrument
  3. 结构化备忘:核心论点 → 证据 → 证伪条件 → 观察指标与时间盒。
  4. 事实 | 假设 | 推断 分栏写结论。
  5. 交付网页(默认)list_web_vendorcreate_web;已有则 read_web / update_web

网页报告建议目录

  1. 标的卡片与时效
  2. 投资问题与核心论点(假设)
  3. 支撑证据(事实表)
  4. 交叉验证与不确定(推断分栏)
  5. 证伪条件与观察清单
  6. 风险与数据缺口
  7. 免责声明(无买卖建议)

禁止

  • 荐股、目标价、仓位建议;编造证据
  • 禁止无交付就结束(默认须有 web 产物,除非用户明确只要口头要点)
  • 无证伪条件就结束
  • assumption / not-feasible 须诚实降级
  • 禁止把可选评估分写成「官方评级」
Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 69 lines · 64 tokens per session scan A 529495faa6ee

Subscribe to this mod's changes

thesis-memo is a skill published in the GitHub repository Travisun/Opptrix (231 stars, last pushed 2d ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 64 tokens to every session and 958 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

Related

Other skills, from other repositories

national-team-position

A Chinese-language analysis tool that estimates changes in China’s government-backed ETF holdings by tracking ETF share counts and related index prices. ETFs are funds traded on stock exchanges, and the “national team” refers here to Central Huijin, a state investment company.

Xiaoyuan-Liu/national-team-position · 161 tokens

caijing-ipo-hk

A Chinese-language adviser for Hong Kong stock initial public offerings, or IPOs—the first sale of a company's shares to the public. It covers how to apply, how much to apply for, and risks such as the share price falling below the offering price.

nekopunch11/rodya-caijing-studio · 209 tokens

caijing-fundamental

A finance research skill for writing a detailed, forward-looking analysis of a listed company’s business, financials, valuation, risks, and investment arguments. It covers companies listed in mainland China and Hong Kong.

nekopunch11/rodya-caijing-studio · 188 tokens

rodya-caijing-studio

A toolkit for researching Chinese A-share and Hong Kong-listed companies and producing financial content. It includes separate workflows for company fundamentals, earnings, valuation, risks, industries, and IPO checks.

nekopunch11/rodya-caijing-studio · 171 tokens

caijing-earnings

A finance research skill for reviewing listed companies’ earnings reports, or preparing for an upcoming report. It focuses on Chinese A- and Hong Kong-listed companies.

nekopunch11/rodya-caijing-studio · 215 tokens

caijing-industry

A finance research skill for mapping an industry or investment theme from its drivers through its suppliers, customers, and representative companies. It is about the wider sector, not ranking individual stocks.

nekopunch11/rodya-caijing-studio · 150 tokens