thesis-update

thesis-update is a skill for Claude Code from Travisun/Opptrix. It costs 57 tokens per session (989 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

An investment-thesis update that compares a previous investment view with new financial or news evidence. An investment thesis is the reason an investor expects an asset to perform well and the conditions that would disprove that view.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to refresh an existing thesis, compare old and new evidence, record unresolved questions, and optionally save the revised view for later tracking.
Why use it?
It prevents a revised opinion from pretending to be a new analysis when no earlier thesis exists. It shows which parts were strengthened, weakened, disproved, or unchanged.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: allowed-tools in frontmatter.

Good fit Use it to refresh an existing thesis, compare old and new evidence, record unresolved questions, and optionally save the revised view for later tracking.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-update
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add Travisun/Opptrix --skill thesis-update
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Travisun/Opptrix

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for thesis-update

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-update/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-update)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-update"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-update/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for thesis-update

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-update"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/travisun/opptrix/thesis-update.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 57 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 989 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00057 $0.00989
Opus 5 $0.00028 $0.00495
Sonnet 5 $0.00011 $0.00198
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00099

Measured 5d ago against content hash 9f78ba9f5747, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

thesis-update scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 5d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

packages/agent-skills/builtin/thesis-update/SKILL.md · 71 lines

What it actually says

论点更新(Thesis Update)

何时使用

用户要在已有投资论点之上做增量更新(新证据、修订、证伪状态变化),而非从零写 thesis。边界:首次论点用 @skill:thesis-memo;持续看板用 @skill:thesis-tracker必须相对旧论点;须先 workspace_read(或用户粘贴旧稿)。

分析架构(投研方法)

  • 问题/假设:旧论点哪些支柱仍成立?哪些被新证据削弱/强化?
  • 证据清单:workspace 旧论点、新财务/资讯、用户补充
  • 多维交叉验证:新旧对照表;变化归因标为推断
  • 结论与不确定:修订建议为工作假设;保留「未变」条目避免伪更新
  • 风险与缺口:无旧论点可对照、资讯噪音
  • 事实 | 假设 | 推断 分栏强制

数据维度

维度 取数方向 缺失时
旧论点 workspace_read / 用户粘贴 ask_user 索要;无则建议改走 thesis-memo
标的 search_instruments 与旧稿不一致时确认
财务增量 get_instrument_financials 仅用资讯更新并降级
资讯增量 get_instrument_news 标明无新公开事件
概况 get_instrument_profile 可跳过
落盘修订 workspace_write(可选) 仅网页交付亦可
交付 list_web_vendorcreate_web 用户只要口头要点时可跳过

步骤

  1. 读取旧论点workspace_read;没有则 ask_user,禁止虚构「上次结论」。
  2. 拉取增量证据:财务/资讯等与旧支柱相关的部分。
  3. 对照表:每条旧支柱 → 状态(强化/削弱/不变/证伪)→ 依据。
  4. 输出修订版论点摘要 + 未决观察项。
  5. 交付网页(默认)list_web_vendorcreate_web;可选 workspace_write 更新 SSOT。
  6. 无旧论点可对照时标 not-feasible 并引导首次备忘。

网页报告建议目录

  1. 标的、更新时点与旧论点来源
  2. 旧论点摘要(事实引用)
  3. 增量证据时间线
  4. 支柱对照表(强化/削弱/不变/证伪)
  5. 修订后论点(假设)
  6. 事实 | 假设 | 推断分栏
  7. 风险与缺口
  8. 免责声明(无买卖建议)

禁止

  • 在无旧论点时假装「相对上次」
  • 荐股;编造增量事件
  • 禁止无交付就结束(默认须有 web 产物,除非用户明确只要口头要点)
  • 跳过 workspace_read(有 workspace 时)
  • assumption / not-feasible 须诚实降级
Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 5d ago First seen · 71 lines · 57 tokens per session scan A 9f78ba9f5747

Subscribe to this mod's changes

thesis-update is a skill published in the GitHub repository Travisun/Opptrix (231 stars, last pushed 2d ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 57 tokens to every session and 989 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

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