pm-assumption-rigor-audit

pm-assumption-rigor-audit is a skill for Claude Code from Uxcel-Lab/product-skills. It costs 124 tokens per session (2,868 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A structured review of how a team tested an assumption, meaning a belief that must be true for a product or plan to work.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to review discovery plans, experiments, tests, and claims that an idea or assumption has been validated.
Why use it?
It checks whether the riskiest assumption was tested with suitable evidence, rather than treating weak feedback or an easy experiment as proof.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin. Also seen: positional $N argument.

Part of the uxcel plugin — 58 skills shipped together

Good fit Use it to review discovery plans, experiments, tests, and claims that an idea or assumption has been validated.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-rigor
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add Uxcel-Lab/product-skills --skill assumption-rigor
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Uxcel-Lab/product-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install uxcel, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 58 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for pm-assumption-rigor-audit

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-rigor/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-rigor)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-rigor"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-rigor/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for pm-assumption-rigor-audit

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-rigor"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-rigor.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 124 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,868 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00124 $0.02868
Opus 5 $0.00062 $0.01434
Sonnet 5 $0.00025 $0.00574
Haiku 4.5 $0.00012 $0.00287

Measured 11d ago against content hash d6472615f363, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

pm-assumption-rigor-audit scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 11d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

pm/audits/assumption-rigor/SKILL.md · 155 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 155 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Assumption Rigor Audit Skill

What this skill changes vs. default behavior

By default, Claude accepts validation at face value — "we ran a survey and users liked it, so it's validated" passes without challenge. It rarely asks whether the riskiest assumption was the one tested, whether the method was strong enough for the decision it's meant to support, whether "would you use this?" answers were mistaken for evidence, whether success was defined before the test, or whether the sample was big enough to mean anything. This audit forces four things: every finding names the violated principle; the decision the test is meant to support is the unit of judgment (rigor scales to what's at stake); evidence claims are tested for signal vs. noise; and findings come severity-rated by decision damage with a concrete fix.

This is an evaluative skill: it auto-runs whenever a validation plan, experiment, discovery approach, or a "we validated…" claim is being reviewed — and as the validation step after pm-assumption-testing produces a test plan.

Scope discipline. When invoked directly (the user named this audit), review only this concern — don't pull in sibling audits. It runs alongside other lenses only when the pm-product-review orchestrator or a generative skill calls it under docs/orchestration-policy.md, where it sits in the always-relevant PM lens — auto-runs. Explicit scope always wins.


The framework — what to check and what a violation looks like

1. The riskiest assumption was tested — not the comfortable one

Assumptions should be mapped on importance × certainty; the high-importance / low-certainty ones (the leap-of-faith beliefs) carry the risk and get tested first. Testing everything indiscriminately, or testing what's easy, is wasted motion.

Flag when: the load-bearing assumption ("users will pay for this," "this is even a problem") is never named or never tested while easy/safe ones are; "we're testing everything" with no prioritization; the idea was tested but the beliefs the idea depends on weren't.

Read the full file on GitHub · 155 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 11d ago First seen · 155 lines · 124 tokens per session scan A d6472615f363

Subscribe to this mod's changes

pm-assumption-rigor-audit is a skill published in the GitHub repository Uxcel-Lab/product-skills (10 stars, last pushed 2mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 124 tokens to every session and 2,868 once invoked, about $0.0006 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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