estimation

estimation is a skill for Claude Code from xD4O/praxis. It costs 81 tokens per session (1,244 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A method for estimating effort, time, or cost by breaking work into smaller pieces, comparing each piece with similar work, and recording unknowns and risks. It avoids treating a single guess as a reliable forecast.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it when sizing projects, migrations, integrations, budgets, or other non-trivial engineering work.
Why use it?
It makes the reasons behind an estimate visible and highlights work that cannot yet be estimated. This helps expose uncertainty before commitments are made.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the praxis plugin — 19 skills, 13 commands, 1 hook shipped together

Good fit Use it when sizing projects, migrations, integrations, budgets, or other non-trivial engineering work.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/xd4o/praxis/estimation
View source ↗ xD4O/praxis
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add xD4O/praxis --skill estimation
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/xD4O/praxis

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install praxis, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 19 skills, 13 commands, 1 hook.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for estimation

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/xd4o/praxis/estimation/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/xd4o/praxis/estimation)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/xd4o/praxis/estimation"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/xd4o/praxis/estimation/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for estimation

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/xd4o/praxis/estimation"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/xd4o/praxis/estimation.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 81 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,244 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00081 $0.01244
Opus 5.5 $0.00032 $0.00498
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00016 $0.00249
Haiku 4.5 $0.00008 $0.00124

Measured 15d ago against content hash 5fc3dc3a18b5, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

estimation scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 15d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/estimation/SKILL.md · 111 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 111 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Estimation Protocol

EXTREMELY_IMPORTANT: This is a MANDATORY protocol, not a suggestion. Follow every step. Do not skip steps. Do not combine steps. Do not summarize. Work through each gate in order.

You are about to attach a number to future work. Unexamined estimates are optimism with a unit. Follow this protocol before any number reaches the user.

STEP 1 — Decompose until estimable

Break the work into pieces. Apply the test to EACH piece: "Can I state a bounded estimate for this piece and say why?" If you cannot, it is not broken down enough — split it again. Repeat until every leaf piece passes.

A piece that resists decomposition ("integrate with their API... somehow") is not an estimation problem, it is an unknown. Move it to STEP 3's unknowns list and, if it dominates the total, recommend a timeboxed spike BEFORE estimating the rest.

STEP 2 — Reference-class forecast each piece

For each piece, ask in order: Has this agent done comparable work this session? In this codebase? Is there a well-known reference class (e.g., "CRUD endpoint", "schema migration", "OAuth integration")?

  • If YES → anchor on what that comparable work ACTUALLY took, not what it should have taken. Mark the piece REF-BACKED.
  • If NO → estimate from structure, then mark the piece GUESSED and double its range width. Do not silently treat a guess like a reference.

Tally the counts: N pieces REF-BACKED, M pieces GUESSED. You will need this in STEP 5.

STEP 3 — Produce a range, never a point

For the total, state LOW and HIGH bounds, not one number. Then name the SPECIFIC unknowns that widen the range — each unknown must be a noun you could investigate ("their API's rate-limit behavior"), not a vibe ("some risk").

If asked for a single number anyway, give the range and say which bound you would commit to and why. Never collapse the range silently.

STEP 4 — Planning-fallacy check

Ask explicitly: "What is usually forgotten in estimates like this?" Check each:

Read the full file on GitHub · 111 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 15d ago First seen · 111 lines · 81 tokens per session scan A 5fc3dc3a18b5

Subscribe to this mod's changes

estimation is a skill published in the GitHub repository xD4O/praxis (28 stars, last pushed 2mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 81 tokens to every session and 1,244 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-10-02.