market-sizing

market-sizing is a skill for Claude Code from yonatangross/orchestkit. It costs 58 tokens per session (1,226 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A method for estimating market size using TAM, SAM, and SOM. TAM is everyone who could buy, SAM is the reachable segment, and SOM is the realistic share a business could capture.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to estimate addressable markets, compare top-down and bottom-up calculations, reconcile differing assumptions, and prepare investor materials.
Why use it?
It helps replace vague market claims with estimates that can be checked using both industry-level and customer-level assumptions.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: allowed-tools in frontmatter. Also seen: positional $N argument; mentions Claude Code.

Part of the ork plugin — 111 skills, 38 commands, 36 agents, 32 hooks shipped together

Good fit Use it to estimate addressable markets, compare top-down and bottom-up calculations, reconcile differing assumptions, and prepare investor materials.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/yonatangross/orchestkit/market-sizing
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add yonatangross/orchestkit --skill market-sizing
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/yonatangross/orchestkit

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install ork, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 111 skills, 38 commands, 36 agents, 32 hooks.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for market-sizing

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yonatangross/orchestkit/market-sizing/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/yonatangross/orchestkit/market-sizing)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/yonatangross/orchestkit/market-sizing"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yonatangross/orchestkit/market-sizing/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for market-sizing

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/yonatangross/orchestkit/market-sizing"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yonatangross/orchestkit/market-sizing.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 58 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,226 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00058 $0.01226
Opus 5.5 $0.00023 $0.00490
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00012 $0.00245
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00123

Measured 9d ago against content hash 7dccb068fa62, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

market-sizing scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

plugins/ork/skills/market-sizing/SKILL.md · 149 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 149 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Market Sizing

TAM/SAM/SOM framework for estimating addressable market and validating opportunity size.

Definitions

Metric Definition Question It Answers
TAM Total Addressable Market — everyone who could possibly buy "What's the theoretical ceiling?"
SAM Serviceable Addressable Market — segment you can actually reach "What can we realistically target?"
SOM Serviceable Obtainable Market — realistic share in 3 years "What will we actually capture?"
+-------------------------------------------------------+
|                         TAM                            |
|  +---------------------------------------------------+ |
|  |                      SAM                           | |
|  |  +-----------------------------------------------+| |
|  |  |                   SOM                          || |
|  |  +-----------------------------------------------+| |
|  +---------------------------------------------------+ |
+-------------------------------------------------------+

When to Use Top-Down vs. Bottom-Up

Method Use When Risk
Top-Down Industry reports exist; investor pitch; quick estimate Overestimates SOM
Bottom-Up Sales capacity known; pricing validated; more credible More work; requires assumptions
Both (recommended) High-stakes decisions; fundraising; board decks Cross-validate to build confidence

Always cross-validate both methods and reconcile within 20%. If they diverge by more than that, revisit your assumptions.

Quick Formulas

Top-Down
  TAM = (# potential customers) × (annual value per customer)
  SAM = TAM × (% your solution can address)
  SOM = SAM × (realistic market share % in 3 years)

Bottom-Up
  SOM = (# customers you can acquire) × (average deal size)
  SAM = SOM / (your expected market share %)
  TAM = SAM / (your segment as % of total market)

Example: AI Code Review Tool

Read the full file on GitHub · 149 lines

Files

What ships with it

4 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago Changed · -1 lines 7dccb068fa62
  2. 17d ago Changed ad148e6cbd3b
  3. 18d ago Changed · -1 lines e8d15b2536b7
  4. 26d ago Changed 7952d9397c8f
  5. 1mo ago First seen · 151 lines · 58 tokens per session scan A b8ebac2e2e3f

Subscribe to this mod's changes

market-sizing is a skill published in the GitHub repository yonatangross/orchestkit (295 stars, last pushed today), licensed MIT. It adds 58 tokens to every session and 1,226 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.