claude-code-r-skills: Skill for Claude Code

.claude/skills/r-bayes/SKILL.md

r-bayes is a skill for Claude Code from ab604/claude-code-r-skills. It costs 32 tokens per session (2,765 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A collection of R patterns for Bayesian statistical analysis, including multilevel models, causal diagrams, and estimated effects. Bayesian analysis is a way to update uncertainty about an answer using data and prior knowledge.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it in R to build and validate causal diagrams, find adjustment variables, fit multilevel Bayesian models, and calculate marginal effects.
Why use it?
It provides a consistent approach for modeling uncertainty and checking whether a proposed causal structure fits the data.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: installed under .claude/.

This is ab604/claude-code-r-skills's own configuration. It tells Claude Code how to work on claude-code-r-skills itself, so it is not a mod to install elsewhere. Copy it as a starting point and replace the rules that are about this project. Everything claude-code-r-skills configures →

Part of the r-skills plugin — 8 skills, 4 commands, 3 agents, 4 hooks shipped together

Reuse

Borrowing it

Nothing to install: this file belongs to ab604/claude-code-r-skills. Take a copy, put it at the same path in your own repository, and replace the rules that are about this project with yours.

Copy the file
curl -O https://raw.githubusercontent.com/ab604/claude-code-r-skills/main/.claude/skills/r-bayes/SKILL.md
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/ab604/claude-code-r-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install r-skills, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 8 skills, 4 commands, 3 agents, 4 hooks.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

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README.md
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Per session 32 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,765 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00032 $0.02765
Opus 5 $0.00016 $0.01383
Sonnet 5 $0.00006 $0.00553
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00277

Measured 10d ago against content hash 1106cd01d047, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-10, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

r-bayes scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 10d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

.claude/skills/r-bayes/SKILL.md · 434 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 434 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Core Packages

library(brms)
library(cmdstanr)
library(dagitty)
library(ggdag)
library(marginaleffects)
library(tidybayes)
library(bayesplot)

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs)

Prior to causal inference, create and validate DAGs with dagitty and ggdag.

Define DAG Structure

dag <- dagitty('
dag {
  # Node positions for visualization
  exposure [pos="0,1"]
  mediator [pos="1,1"]
  outcome [pos="2,1"]
  confounder [pos="1,0"]

  # Edges (arrows)
  confounder -> exposure
  confounder -> outcome
  exposure -> mediator
  mediator -> outcome
  exposure -> outcome
}
')

Identify Adjustment Sets

# For direct effect
adjustmentSets(dag, exposure = "treatment", outcome = "outcome", effect = "direct")

# For total effect
adjustmentSets(dag, exposure = "treatment", outcome = "outcome", effect = "total")

Validate DAG Against Data

# Get implied conditional independencies
implied_cis <- impliedConditionalIndependencies(dag)

# Test against data
ci_results <- localTests(dag, data = analysis_data, type = "cis")

# Assess validation
ci_df <- as.data.frame(ci_results)
ci_df$independent <- ci_df$p.value > 0.05
pct_supported <- 100 * mean(ci_df$independent, na.rm = TRUE)

cat(sprintf("DAG support: %.1f%% of implied CIs hold\n", pct_supported))

Visualize DAG

dag_tidy <- tidy_dagitty(dag)

ggplot(dag_tidy, aes(x = x, y = y, xend = xend, yend = yend)) +
  geom_dag_edges(edge_colour = "grey50") +
  geom_dag_point(size = 20) +
  geom_dag_text(size = 3.5, color = "black") +
  theme_dag() +
  labs(title = "Causal DAG")

Bayesian Regression with brms

Standard Configuration

options(mc.cores = 4)

# Standard brms model call
model <- brm(
  formula = outcome ~ predictor1 + predictor2 + (1 | group_id),
  data = model_data,
  family = bernoulli(link = "logit"),  # For binary outcomes
  prior = priors,
  sample_prior = "yes",  # For prior-posterior comparison
  chains = 4,
  cores = 4,
  iter = 4000,
  warmup = 1000,
  control = list(
    adapt_delta = 0.95,
    max_treedepth = 15
  ),
  seed = 123,  # Set seed for reproducibility
  backend = "cmdstanr",
  file = "models/model_name",         # Cache compiled model
  file_refit = "on_change"            # Only refit if formula/data change
)

Read the full file on GitHub · 434 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 10d ago First seen · 434 lines · 32 tokens per session scan A 1106cd01d047

Subscribe to this mod's changes

r-bayes is a skill published in the GitHub repository ab604/claude-code-r-skills (199 stars, last pushed 5mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 32 tokens to every session and 2,765 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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