hypothesize-and-design

hypothesize-and-design is a skill for Claude Code from airas-org/airas. It costs 51 tokens per session (408 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A research-planning workflow that turns prior studies into a testable hypothesis and a fixed experiment design. It defines the runs, measurements, models, datasets, and computing environment before execution.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to formulate hypotheses, choose research inputs, set expected result ranges, define metrics, and record what would disprove the hypothesis.
Why use it?
It removes ambiguity about what will be tested and how success or failure will be judged.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the airas plugin — 9 skills, 3 hooks, 1 MCP server shipped together

Good fit Use it to formulate hypotheses, choose research inputs, set expected result ranges, define metrics, and record what would disprove the hypothesis.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/airas-org/airas/hypothesize-and-design
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add airas-org/airas --skill hypothesize-and-design
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/airas-org/airas

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install airas, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 9 skills, 3 hooks, 1 MCP server.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for hypothesize-and-design

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/airas-org/airas/hypothesize-and-design/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/airas-org/airas/hypothesize-and-design)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/airas-org/airas/hypothesize-and-design"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/airas-org/airas/hypothesize-and-design/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for hypothesize-and-design

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/airas-org/airas/hypothesize-and-design"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/airas-org/airas/hypothesize-and-design.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 51 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 408 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00051 $0.00408
Opus 5 $0.00026 $0.00204
Sonnet 5 $0.00010 $0.00082
Haiku 4.5 $0.00005 $0.00041

Measured 6d ago against content hash d760d2915418, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-10, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

hypothesize-and-design scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

plugins/airas/skills/hypothesize-and-design/SKILL.md · 34 lines

What it actually says

Hypothesize & design

Needs a research_study_list (prior work to build on).

  1. Author the hypothesis via get_generation_prompt("hypothesis", ...) with the study list. Write the prose in Japanese; primary_metric / supporting_metrics stay English identifiers (parsed downstream).
  2. Fix the compute target first: ask the user if it is not known, record GPU and arch (x86_64/aarch64) — the design and later the dependency lockfile depend on it.
  3. Author the design via get_generation_prompt("experimental_design", ...). retrieve_models / retrieve_datasets list curated candidates (no key needed); pass those rather than the prompt's built-in language-model defaults for any other field.
  4. Leave run ids and metrics settled. Downstream tooling addresses every result as <run_id>.<metric.path> (e.g. proposed.accuracy), so a design that leaves run naming open is not finished. State the expected magnitude of the effect as an interval (a range, not a point) and what outcome would refute the hypothesis — a hypothesis without a refutation condition is not testable.

Output: hypothesis + experimental design, written to .research/research_history.json in the experiment repository when one exists (state belongs in the clone, not the conversation). This is the working draft: preregister-paper freezes it into the canonical .research/record.json, after which revision is append-only.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 34 lines · 51 tokens per session scan A d760d2915418

Subscribe to this mod's changes

hypothesize-and-design is a skill published in the GitHub repository airas-org/airas (33 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed MIT. It adds 51 tokens to every session and 408 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-04.

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