clinical-trial-forecast

clinical-trial-forecast is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from anthropics/life-sciences. It costs 95 tokens per session (6,357 once invoked), scanned A, original, no licence file.

A research workflow that estimates the success probability of a registered clinical trial using registry records and documents supplied by the user. It includes checked research, a reviewed Monte Carlo model, a cited report, and a claim ledger that tracks supporting claims.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it when you need a documented probability estimate for a clinical trial or want to examine the research and model behind that estimate.
Why use it?
It provides a traceable basis for a trial forecast, making the evidence, assumptions, and claims easier to inspect.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex ✓ vendor

Which agent this was written for is unclear — body not stored (licence); the path alone says nothing.

Good fit Use it when you need a documented probability estimate for a clinical trial or want to examine the research and model behind that estimate.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/anthropics/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add anthropics/life-sciences --skill clinical-trial-forecast
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/anthropics/life-sciences

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Its marketplace also offers this one on its own, as the plugin clinical-trial-forecast — /plugin install clinical-trial-forecast after adding the marketplace above.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for clinical-trial-forecast

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/anthropics/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/anthropics/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/anthropics/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/anthropics/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for clinical-trial-forecast

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/anthropics/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/anthropics/life-sciences/clinical-trial-forecast.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 95 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 6,357 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 1 finding. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin unknown No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00095 $0.06357
Opus 5.5 $0.00038 $0.02543
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00019 $0.01271
Haiku 4.5 $0.00010 $0.00636

Measured 3d ago against content hash 253b548546a4, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

clinical-trial-forecast scanned grade A with 1 finding against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 3d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 10 executable files (scripts/add_data.py, scripts/bg.py, scripts/cs_workflow.py, …), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Runs shell commandslowCapability

Expected in a hook, worth knowing in a rule or an instructions file.

return json.loads(subprocess.run(CS + list(a), capture_output=True, text=True).stdout.strip().splitlines()[-1])
clinical-trial-forecast/SKILL.md · 299 lines

The source is not reproduced here

No licence file

A repository with no LICENSE is all rights reserved by default, so the body is not copied here. The metadata, the measurements and the link are.

Read it on GitHub

Files

What ships with it

43 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 3d ago First seen · 299 lines · 95 tokens per session scan A 253b548546a4

Subscribe to this mod's changes

clinical-trial-forecast is a skill published in the GitHub repository anthropics/life-sciences (642 stars, last pushed 4d ago), with no licence file. It adds 95 tokens to every session and 6,357 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 1 finding (runs shell commands). No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-11-03.

Related

clinical-trial-forecast compared with skills from other repositories

clinical-trial-forecast next to 6 skills from other repositories
ModTypeStarsLast pushLicenceScanTokensWorks with
clinical-trial-forecastanthropics/life-sciencesSkill6424d agononeA95Claude Code, Codex
instrument-data-to-allotropeanthropics/knowledge-work-pluginsSkill35k2d agoApache-2.0A123Claude Code
exploratory-data-analysisK-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skillsSkill56k4d agoMITA83Claude Code
matlabK-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skillsSkill56k4d agoMITA44Claude Code
phylogeneticsK-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skillsSkill56k4d agoMITA71Claude Code, Codex
research-engineerdavila7/claude-code-templatesSkill33kyesterdayMITA43Claude Code, Codex
mapping-to-snomedmaziyarpanahi/openmedSkill5.8kyesterdayApache-2.0A205Claude Code