scaled-swarm-predict

scaled-swarm-predict is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from bolivian-peru/os-moda. It costs 32 tokens per session (4,151 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A simulated public-opinion exercise using 50–200 AI personas with different demographic backgrounds. The personas discuss a topic through several rounds on a mock Twitter- or Reddit-style board.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to model reactions to product launches, elections, polls, or other public questions. It is a simulation, not a real poll or independent group of AI agents.
Why use it?
It gives a structured way to explore possible public reactions without running a real survey. The results show agreement, disagreements, changing positions, and predictions.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: positional $N argument.

Good fit Use it to model reactions to product launches, elections, polls, or other public questions. It is a simulation, not a real poll or independent group of AI agents.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/bolivian-peru/os-moda/scaled-swarm-predict
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add bolivian-peru/os-moda --skill scaled-swarm-predict
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/bolivian-peru/os-moda

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for scaled-swarm-predict

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/bolivian-peru/os-moda/scaled-swarm-predict/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/bolivian-peru/os-moda/scaled-swarm-predict)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/bolivian-peru/os-moda/scaled-swarm-predict"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/bolivian-peru/os-moda/scaled-swarm-predict/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for scaled-swarm-predict

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/bolivian-peru/os-moda/scaled-swarm-predict"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/bolivian-peru/os-moda/scaled-swarm-predict.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 32 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 4,151 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00032 $0.04151
Opus 5 $0.00016 $0.02076
Sonnet 5 $0.00006 $0.00830
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00415

Measured 12d ago against content hash 6e9251bbbfa7, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

scaled-swarm-predict scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/scaled-swarm-predict/SKILL.md · 485 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 485 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Scaled Swarm Predict

Large-scale social simulation engine. Generates 50-200 demographically diverse AI personas, runs them through a simulated Twitter or Reddit board debating a topic, then analyzes emergent consensus, fault lines, and predictions.

What this is: A structured simulation where you generate a population of diverse personas matching real-world demographics, run 4-6 rounds of simulated social media discussion in a local SQLite database, then analyze position shifts and emergent consensus to make predictions.

What this is NOT: This is not MiroFish/OASIS (which runs independent agent processes). All personas are generated and role-played by a single model. The value comes from forcing diverse demographic perspectives through structured rounds of interaction — not from emergent multi-agent behavior. Think of it as a sophisticated polling simulation, not swarm intelligence.

Cost per run: ~$5-15 with Claude Sonnet (100 agents × 5 rounds = 500 generations). ~$25-60 with Opus. Each round is one large prompt, not 100 separate API calls.

When to Use

  • Predict public reaction: "How will Twitter react to this product launch?"
  • Election/poll modeling: "What does a demographically representative sample think about X policy?"
  • Content testing: "Will this announcement go viral or get ratio'd?"
  • Market sentiment: "How will crypto twitter react to this protocol change?"
  • Risk assessment: "What will the Reddit comments look like when we announce this pricing change?"
  • Brainstorming at scale: "What arguments exist for/against X across different demographics?"

Phase 1: Define the Simulation

1.1 — Get the Topic

Ask the user for:

  1. Topic/scenario — What are we simulating discussion about?
  2. Platform — Twitter (short-form, viral dynamics) or Reddit (long-form, threaded)
  3. Population size — 50 (fast, cheap), 100 (balanced), 200 (thorough)
  4. Seed data — Any documents, articles, data to ground the simulation

Read the full file on GitHub · 485 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago First seen · 485 lines · 32 tokens per session scan A 6e9251bbbfa7

Subscribe to this mod's changes

scaled-swarm-predict is a skill published in the GitHub repository bolivian-peru/os-moda (117 stars, last pushed 2mo ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 32 tokens to every session and 4,151 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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