contrarian-question

contrarian-question is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from deciqAI/knowledge-skills. It costs 181 tokens per session (4,812 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A question for finding an important belief that most informed people reject, then testing whether it is supported by evidence and a clear explanation.

In plain words
What is it for?
It helps stress-test startup ideas, investment views, company pitches, and claims about valuable businesses that nobody is building.
Why use it?
It separates genuinely uncommon business ideas from familiar opinions presented as bold claims or unpopular ideas that are simply wrong.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: positional $N argument.

Good fit It helps stress-test startup ideas, investment views, company pitches, and claims about valuable businesses that nobody is building.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/contrarian-question
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills --skill contrarian-question
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for contrarian-question

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/contrarian-question/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/contrarian-question)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/contrarian-question"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/contrarian-question/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for contrarian-question

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/contrarian-question"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/contrarian-question.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 181 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 4,812 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00181 $0.04812
Opus 5 $0.00090 $0.02406
Sonnet 5 $0.00036 $0.00962
Haiku 4.5 $0.00018 $0.00481

Measured 10d ago against content hash 43549d1ae57f, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-10, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

contrarian-question scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 10d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

contrarian-question/SKILL.md · 161 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 161 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

The Contrarian Question

Overview

Peter Thiel opens Zero to One (2014) with an interview question he says he asks constantly: "What important truth do very few people agree with you on?" Its business translation asks which valuable company nobody is building. The question looks easy and is brutally hard, because a good answer must clear two gates at once: it must be genuinely non-consensus — most smart, informed people would actually disagree with it — and it must be defensible — you can argue it with evidence and mechanism, not with attitude, vibes, or courage-as-argument. Almost every answer fails one gate: either it restates consensus in edgy clothing ("our education system is broken" — everyone agrees), or it is contrarian-but-wrong (unpopular and unsupported, which is just being wrong with confidence).

Why the question matters: Thiel's observation is that brilliant thinking is rare, but the willingness to state an unpopular truth out loud is scarcer still — the binding constraint is courage, not IQ. And the payoff structure is asymmetric. If your claim is consensus and right, it is already priced in — competitors, investors, and markets got there first, so being right earns you little. If it is non-consensus and right, you get the future early, with years of head start before the crowd arrives. That window is exactly where durable companies are founded and outsized returns are made. The gate exists because feeling contrarian is cheap and common; being contrarian and right is rare and checkable.

This skill is the interview-question-shaped gate: a pass/fail test you run one claim through. Its closest sibling, non-consensus-thinking, is the broader hunting discipline for generating and managing non-consensus views across a portfolio — generate candidates there, gate them here. Compose with first-principles (build the defense from bedrock, not analogy), zero-to-one-secrets (a passing answer is a secret — that skill covers where secrets hide), and monopoly-vs-competition (why a passing business answer points at an uncontested market rather than a crowded one).

Read the full file on GitHub · 161 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 10d ago First seen · 161 lines · 181 tokens per session scan A 43549d1ae57f

Subscribe to this mod's changes

contrarian-question is a skill published in the GitHub repository deciqAI/knowledge-skills (10 stars, last pushed 8d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 181 tokens to every session and 4,812 once invoked, about $0.0009 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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