power-law-distribution

power-law-distribution is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from deciqAI/knowledge-skills. It costs 132 tokens per session (1,992 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A statistical pattern in which a small number of very large outcomes account for much of the total, so there may be no typical customer, deal, or event. It appears in areas such as wealth, web traffic, citations, and financial returns.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to allocate resources across customers, channels, content, features, portfolios, or other areas where a few outliers may create most of the value or loss.
Why use it?
It warns against using averages or normal-distribution assumptions when rare outliers dominate results and risks.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to allocate resources across customers, channels, content, features, portfolios, or other areas where a few outliers may create most of the value or loss.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/power-law-distribution
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills --skill power-law-distribution
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for power-law-distribution

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/power-law-distribution/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/power-law-distribution)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/power-law-distribution"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/power-law-distribution/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for power-law-distribution

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/power-law-distribution"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/power-law-distribution.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 132 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,992 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00132 $0.01992
Opus 5 $0.00066 $0.00996
Sonnet 5 $0.00026 $0.00398
Haiku 4.5 $0.00013 $0.00199

Measured 9d ago against content hash d7345cfd6748, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

power-law-distribution scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

power-law-distribution/SKILL.md · 120 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 120 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Power-Law Distribution

Overview

A power-law distribution is a statistical distribution where probability of size x is proportional to x^(−α): large events are rare but far more probable than a Gaussian model predicts, and the largest events dominate the total — there is no "typical" case.

First quantified by Pareto (1896) in wealth; formalized by Mandelbrot (1963) for financial returns; surveyed universally by Newman (2005) across cities, earthquakes, citations, and web traffic.

Composes with pareto-principle (80-20 is the most famous application; this skill provides the math foundation), black-swan (black swans are the extreme upper-tail events power laws make far more probable), expected-value-and-kelly (Kelly sizing breaks under infinite-variance power laws), and antifragile (antifragile strategies exploit the upper tail).

When to Use

  • Allocating capital or resources across a portfolio — power-law returns mean design must prioritize outliers
  • Prioritizing customers, channels, content, or features where a small number account for most value
  • Assessing business risk — Gaussian risk models (VaR, std dev) systematically underestimate extreme risk
  • Any domain where "average" is the planning assumption and extreme outcomes are possible
  • Evaluating AI/compute concentration — AI capex, chip export controls, frontier-lab funding, or "AI bubble" questions where value is capturing into a thin tail of companies

Not when: distribution is demonstrably Gaussian; stakes are low enough that shape doesn't affect the decision; audience will misuse power-law framing as nihilism.

Coaching Novices (Adaptive Front Door)

  • Engine mode: user has a concrete portfolio, risk, or allocation decision → run The Process directly.
  • Coach mode: user is new to the concept → guide step by step.

In Coach mode, respond one step at a time. Each [WAIT] is a hard stop — output only that step's question, then stop.

Read the full file on GitHub · 120 lines

Files

What ships with it

3 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 120 lines · 132 tokens per session scan A d7345cfd6748

Subscribe to this mod's changes

power-law-distribution is a skill published in the GitHub repository deciqAI/knowledge-skills (10 stars, last pushed 10d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 132 tokens to every session and 1,992 once invoked, about $0.0007 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

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