red-queen-effect

red-queen-effect is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from deciqAI/knowledge-skills. It costs 115 tokens per session (2,025 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A competitive pattern where every company must keep improving just to hold its position, because competitors improve at the same time. Overall performance can rise while the gap between companies stays nearly unchanged.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to assess competitive industries, copied advantages, product-improvement plans, and whether a business needs a different path to escape the cycle.
Why use it?
It explains why constant investment may not increase market share or profits. It helps distinguish progress from simply keeping up in a crowded, low-margin industry.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to assess competitive industries, copied advantages, product-improvement plans, and whether a business needs a different path to escape the cycle.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/red-queen-effect
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add deciqAI/knowledge-skills --skill red-queen-effect
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/deciqAI/knowledge-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for red-queen-effect

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/red-queen-effect/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/red-queen-effect)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/red-queen-effect"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/red-queen-effect/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for red-queen-effect

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/red-queen-effect"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/deciqai/knowledge-skills/red-queen-effect.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 115 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,025 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00115 $0.02025
Opus 5 $0.00057 $0.01012
Sonnet 5 $0.00023 $0.00405
Haiku 4.5 $0.00012 $0.00202

Measured 9d ago against content hash 818791a479ad, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

red-queen-effect scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

red-queen-effect/SKILL.md · 126 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 126 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Red Queen Effect

Overview

The Red Queen Effect: competitors must continuously improve just to maintain relative position — because everyone else is improving simultaneously. Absolute performance rises; relative position barely shifts; cumulative effort primarily produces consumer surplus, not corporate profit. Named after Leigh Van Valen's 1973 evolutionary law and Lewis Carroll's Red Queen ("It takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place").

Composes with porters-five-forces (diagnoses structure; Red Queen explains why strong competitors still don't earn), second-curve (escaping the Red Queen is the primary case for a second curve), network-effects (temporary escape until the next technology generation resets the field), and antifragile (gaining from Red Queen stress rather than merely surviving it).

When to Use

  • Investing heavily but market share is not moving; industry growing but margins chronically thin
  • Competitive gap stays constant despite continuous product improvement
  • Post-mortem: advantage was copied within 12–24 months; team keeps asking "should we match them?"
  • Evaluating whether to enter an industry or whether an initiative will produce durable advantage
  • Escalating AI capex / compute arms race, or AI-native competition where everyone must adopt AI just to keep pace and no durable lead emerges

Not when: genuine structural barriers to imitation exist (IP, regulatory approvals, deep network effects); pure operational efficiency decision; pre-competitive with no direct rivals. Stop: once Red Queen is confirmed + escape vector identified, or NOT confirmed + durability factor named.

Coaching Novices (Adaptive Front Door)

  • Engine mode: user has a specific competitive situation → run The Process directly.
  • Coaching mode: user is unfamiliar → guide step by step.

In Coach mode, respond one step at a time. Each [WAIT] is a hard stop — output only that step's question, then stop.

Read the full file on GitHub · 126 lines

Files

What ships with it

3 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 126 lines · 115 tokens per session scan A 818791a479ad

Subscribe to this mod's changes

red-queen-effect is a skill published in the GitHub repository deciqAI/knowledge-skills (10 stars, last pushed 11d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 115 tokens to every session and 2,025 once invoked, about $0.0006 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

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