neqsim-ncs-value-chain-optimization

NCS Value-Chain Optimisation

This skill optimises the Norwegian Continental Shelf as one system. It takes the open-data export graph from neqsim-ncs-infrastructure-network, puts supply on it for every year, and answers:

• how much each field and discovery should produce each year to maximise value when all fields share the same trunklines, plants and terminals;
• which elements bind, and what one more MSm3/d or Sm3/d of capacity is worth there (shadow price);
• how an outage, capacity change, price shift or new tie-in propagates;
• where spare capacity (ullage) opens up over time, and which discoveries use it best;
• which producing fields could ship more, and whether the field or the network limits them.

Everything is public screening data. Governed inputs (corporate forecasts, Gassled tariffs, gas-quality specs, metered flows) enter through a scenario JSON produced by a private enterprise binding skill (a company writes its own; see the Enterprise Agent and Skill Repositories guide). This skill never reads company systems.

When to Use

• "Maximise NCS production/value for 2026–2040 given the pipeline system."
• "What is the most valuable debottleneck on the NCS, and when does it bind?"
• "If Kollsnes runs at 70% in 2027, what is lost and where does gas reroute?"
• "Which discoveries should be tied in first, into which host, and is there ullage?"
• "Which fields could produce more today, and what limits them?"
• Before a detailed NeqSim host process-model study: to get the rate targets the host must handle, including tie-ins.

Inputs

• An NcsNetwork (bundled snapshot or a live rebuild).
• A scenario (ncs_value_chain_scenario.v1, see scenario.py) with these keys:
  • years;
  • prices (gas NOK/Sm3, liquid NOK/Sm3, exit-market factors);
  • tariffs (default and per arc);
  • discount_rate;
  • capacity_overrides;
  • outages (element, years, available fraction);
  • forecast_overrides (e.g. corporate forecast per field);
  • include_discoveries, tieback_max_km, max_paths_per_entity. All have stated public defaults.