neqsim-uncertainty-quantification

neqsim-uncertainty-quantification is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from equinor/neqsim-community-skills. It costs 278 tokens per session (3,794 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A toolkit for measuring how uncertain inputs affect NeqSim results. It samples possible input values, checks whether model runs converge, calculates ranges such as P10, P50, and P90, and supports sensitivity analysis.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to wrap Monte Carlo studies around NeqSim models, report uncertainty statistics, rank influential inputs, cache expensive calculations, and audit existing uncertainty analyses.
Why use it?
It avoids repeatedly building fragile uncertainty calculations and helps expose inputs that most influence the result. It can also account for interactions that a simple one-at-a-time sensitivity chart misses.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to wrap Monte Carlo studies around NeqSim models, report uncertainty statistics, rank influential inputs, cache expensive calculations, and audit existing uncertainty analyses.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/equinor/neqsim-community-skills/uncertainty-quantification
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add equinor/neqsim-community-skills --skill uncertainty-quantification
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/equinor/neqsim-community-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for neqsim-uncertainty-quantification

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/equinor/neqsim-community-skills/uncertainty-quantification/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/equinor/neqsim-community-skills/uncertainty-quantification)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/equinor/neqsim-community-skills/uncertainty-quantification"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/equinor/neqsim-community-skills/uncertainty-quantification/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for neqsim-uncertainty-quantification

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/equinor/neqsim-community-skills/uncertainty-quantification"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/equinor/neqsim-community-skills/uncertainty-quantification.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 278 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 3,794 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00278 $0.03794
Opus 5 $0.00139 $0.01897
Sonnet 5 $0.00056 $0.00759
Haiku 4.5 $0.00028 $0.00379

Measured 10d ago against content hash 2e6ac00e749f, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-10, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

neqsim-uncertainty-quantification scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 10d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 17 executable files (examples/global_sensitivity_with_salib.py, examples/monte_carlo_npv_study.py, src/uncertainty_quantification/__init__.py, …), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/process/uncertainty-quantification/SKILL.md · 297 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 297 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Uncertainty Quantification

A Standard or Comprehensive NeqSim task must report P10/P50/P90 and a tornado diagram. In practice that gets written from scratch in every notebook, and the same four defects recur: sampling that clusters because it is plain pseudo-random at n = 200, a Monte Carlo loop that re-solves the flowsheet for a gas price that never touches it, no check that the run converged, and a tornado presented as if it were a sensitivity analysis when it cannot see interaction.

This skill supplies the sampling, the statistics, the caching, the convergence gate and the report block. It does not own the model — the task supplies that.

When to Use

  • A task must produce uncertainty for results.json: P10/P50/P90, mean, standard deviation, probability of a negative outcome, tornado.
  • A Monte Carlo loop wraps an expensive NeqSim flowsheet and the evaluation budget is the binding constraint.
  • Parameters must be screened before a sensitivity budget is committed.
  • An interaction between uncertain inputs is suspected and a tornado is not enough.
  • An existing uncertainty block must be audited: enough samples, converged, correct percentile convention?

When Not to Use

  • As an optimiser. Searching for the best setpoints is neqsim-optimization-and-doe; this skill propagates uncertainty through a fixed design.
  • To invent input ranges. A distribution with no basis produces a precise answer to an arbitrary question — record where each range came from.
  • For correlated inputs. Every marginal is sampled independently; correlation between, say, price and cost inflation is not represented.
  • As a substitute for a risk register. A probability distribution on an output is not a hazard assessment.

Inputs

Input Meaning
parameters list of Distribution objects, each with name, unit, kind
kind "technical" (drives the expensive stage) or "economic" (cheap stage only)
model f(values) -> float, for a single-stage study
technical / economic the two-stage split: g(technical) -> intermediate, h(intermediate, economic) -> float
sampling_method "lhs" (default), "random", or "halton"
seed integer for reproducibility
n sample count; at least 200 for a simulation-backed run

Read the full file on GitHub · 297 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 10d ago First seen · 297 lines · 278 tokens per session scan A 2e6ac00e749f

Subscribe to this mod's changes

neqsim-uncertainty-quantification is a skill published in the GitHub repository equinor/neqsim-community-skills (2 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 278 tokens to every session and 3,794 once invoked, about $0.0014 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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