Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add fatihguner/foreman --skill scenario-planninggit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/fatihguner/foremanWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/fatihguner/foreman/scenario-planning)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/fatihguner/foreman/scenario-planning"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/fatihguner/foreman/scenario-planning/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/fatihguner/foreman/scenario-planning"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/fatihguner/foreman/scenario-planning.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>- NVIDIA SkillSpector pass
What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00078 | $0.02936 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00039 | $0.01468 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00016 | $0.00587 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00008 | $0.00294 |
Grade A, and why
scenario-planning scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
How it starts
The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 205 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.
Read runtime and advisory rules before applying this skill. Other Foreman layers and the catalog are in ../../content/, relative to this SKILL.md.
Scenario Planning
When the Arab oil embargo struck in October 1973, most Western corporations were blindsided. Royal Dutch Shell was not. Through a practice called scenario planning -- pioneered within the company by Pierre Wack and his team in the Group Planning division -- Shell had already rehearsed a world in which oil prices spiked dramatically. While competitors scrambled to react, Shell had contingency plans ready to execute. Within two years, Shell rose from the seventh-largest oil company to the second. The story is not merely corporate lore; it remains the canonical demonstration that rehearsing multiple futures is more valuable than perfecting a single forecast.
Scenario planning does not attempt to predict the future. It attempts to prepare for several plausible futures simultaneously, so that when events unfold -- inevitably in ways that match no single prediction -- the organization can respond with speed and coherence rather than confusion.
The Framework
The Logic of Scenarios
Traditional strategic planning assumes a single most-likely future and builds one plan around it. Scenario planning rejects this premise. It constructs multiple internally consistent narratives about how the future might develop, then uses these narratives to stress-test strategy and develop flexible responses.
The distinction is not academic. A single-forecast plan is brittle; it works brilliantly if the forecast is correct and fails entirely if it is not. A scenario-informed strategy bends without breaking.
The Process
Scenario planning follows a disciplined sequence, though practitioners adapt the steps to their context:
Step 1 -- Define the Focal Question What specific strategic decision or uncertainty does the organization need to navigate? The question must be concrete. "What will our industry look like in ten years?" is too broad. "Should we invest $20M in a new manufacturing facility given regulatory and demand uncertainty?" is actionable.
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 6d ago First seen · 205 lines · 78 tokens per session scan A 3dfd5639c6ed
scenario-planning is a skill published in the GitHub repository fatihguner/foreman (50 stars, last pushed 7d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 78 tokens to every session and 2,936 once invoked, about $0.0004 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-06.
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