thesis-tracker

thesis-tracker is a skill for Claude Code from luiseiman/dotforge. It costs 57 tokens per session (804 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A structured tracker for investment theses—the reasons and assumptions behind owning or shorting a position. It records supporting evidence, risks, upcoming events, price targets, and conviction over time.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to create or update theses, score supporting pillars, record new data points, track catalysts, and review portfolio or watchlist positions.
Why use it?
It makes it easier to notice when new results confirm, weaken, or break the original investment case instead of relying on memory.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the dotforge plugin — 25 skills, 25 commands, 7 agents, 8 hooks shipped together

Good fit Use it to create or update theses, score supporting pillars, record new data points, track catalysts, and review portfolio or watchlist positions.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/luiseiman/dotforge/thesis-tracker
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add luiseiman/dotforge --skill thesis-tracker
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/luiseiman/dotforge

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install dotforge, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 25 skills, 25 commands, 7 agents, 8 hooks.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for thesis-tracker

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/luiseiman/dotforge/thesis-tracker/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/luiseiman/dotforge/thesis-tracker)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/luiseiman/dotforge/thesis-tracker"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/luiseiman/dotforge/thesis-tracker/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for thesis-tracker

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/luiseiman/dotforge/thesis-tracker"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/luiseiman/dotforge/thesis-tracker.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 57 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 804 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00057 $0.00804
Opus 5.5 $0.00023 $0.00322
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00011 $0.00161
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00080

Measured 1mo ago against content hash 91391b3ee62c, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

thesis-tracker scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 1mo ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

stacks/trading/skills/thesis-tracker/SKILL.md · 93 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 93 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Thesis Tracker

Maintain investment theses with structured tracking of pillars, evidence, and catalysts.

Step 1: Load or Create Thesis

New thesis — collect:

  • Ticker + market (BYMA/US/crypto)
  • Direction: Long or Short
  • Core thesis: 1-2 sentences (e.g., "Long GGAL — margin expansion from rate normalization + deposit growth as inflation drops")
  • 3-5 key pillars (supporting arguments)
  • 3-5 key risks (what invalidates the thesis)
  • Catalysts with dates (earnings, regulatory, macro events)
  • Target price + time horizon
  • Stop-loss trigger (price or fundamental)
  • Position size (% of portfolio)

Existing thesis: load from project files or ask user for current state.

Step 2: Pillar Scorecard

Maintain running scorecard:

Pillar Original Expectation Current Status Evidence Trend
Revenue growth >15% On track Q3 was 18% YoY 10-Q filed 11/8 Stable
Margin expansion Behind EBITDA margin flat Earnings call Concerning
Catalyst pending Watching Reg decision delayed Press release Watch

Trend values: Confirming / Stable / Concerning / Broken

Step 3: Update Log

For each new data point:

  • Date: when it happened
  • Event: what changed (earnings, macro, competitor, regulatory)
  • Impact: which pillar affected, how (strengthens/weakens/neutral)
  • Action: hold / add / trim / exit
  • Conviction: High / Medium / Low (updated)

Step 4: Catalyst Calendar

Date Event Ticker Expected Impact Status
Pending/Done/Missed

Step 5: AR-Specific Tracking (if applicable)

For CEDEARs:

  • Track underlying ADR price + CEDEAR price + CCL implicit
  • Calculate premium/discount vs theoretical parity
  • Flag when premium >5% or discount >3%

For bonds (soberanos/corporativos):

  • Track TIR, duration, paridad
  • Spread vs benchmark (US Treasury or similar)
  • Next coupon date and amortization schedule

Read the full file on GitHub · 93 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 1mo ago First seen · 93 lines · 57 tokens per session scan A 91391b3ee62c

Subscribe to this mod's changes

thesis-tracker is a skill published in the GitHub repository luiseiman/dotforge (8 stars, last pushed 9d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 57 tokens to every session and 804 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

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