cold-start-problem

cold-start-problem is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills. It costs 387 tokens per session (3,400 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A framework for launching and growing products whose value increases when more people use them, such as marketplaces, social networks, and collaboration tools. It focuses on building a small, self-sustaining group before expanding.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to plan launches for marketplaces, communities, social products, dating services, and other network-based products, including strategies for attracting the harder-to-recruit side.
Why use it?
It helps explain how to get a network started when there are too few users, which participants to attract first, and how growth can eventually slow down.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to plan launches for marketplaces, communities, social products, dating services, and other network-based products, including strategies for attracting the harder-to-recruit side.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills/cold-start-problem
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills --skill cold-start-problem
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for cold-start-problem

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills/cold-start-problem/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills/cold-start-problem)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills/cold-start-problem"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills/cold-start-problem/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for cold-start-problem

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills/cold-start-problem"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills/cold-start-problem.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 387 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 3,400 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00387 $0.03400
Opus 5 $0.00193 $0.01700
Sonnet 5 $0.00077 $0.00680
Haiku 4.5 $0.00039 $0.00340

Measured 9d ago against content hash 5261b09998a1, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

cold-start-problem scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/cold-start-problem/SKILL.md · 109 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 109 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

The Cold Start Problem

Andrew Chen's Cold Start Problem — the operational playbook for launching and scaling network products (marketplaces, social networks, dating apps, collaboration tools, communities, creator platforms) through the 5 stages of network effects: Cold Start → Tipping Point → Escape Velocity → Hitting the Ceiling → The Moat. Distilled from Chen's book The Cold Start Problem: How to Start and Scale Network Effects (Harper Business, 2021), his ongoing essays on andrewchen.com and andrewchen.substack.com, his a16z portfolio commentary, and podcast appearances including Lenny Rachitsky's, Noah Kagan Presents, Intercom, and the a16z podcast. Chen draws heavily on first-person Uber tenure (head of Rider Growth, 15M→100M users) and a16z portfolio visibility that summarizers can't reproduce.

This skill helps your agent think like the operator behind Uber's city launches — narrow, dense, self-sustaining atomic networks; hard-side users solved first; anti-network effects respected on both the launch curve and the ceiling curve. It's opinionated because Chen is opinionated: atomic networks are smaller and more specific than founders think, the hard side is where the leverage is, viral loops are not network effects, and network defensibility is a live discipline, not a static moat.

When this skill activates

Use this skill when the user is:

  • Launching a networked product (marketplace, social, chat, dating, community, creator platform, multiplayer, dev tools) and stuck on the chicken-and-egg problem.
  • Trying to figure out the beachhead — which city, which campus, which team, which niche — to start from.
  • Debating supply-side vs demand-side prioritization on a two-sided marketplace.
  • Watching a marketplace with signups but no engagement — empty rooms.
  • Diagnosing why a previously growing network has stalled, decayed, been spammed, or drifted into "eternal September".
  • Considering a come-for-the-tool-stay-for-the-network launch (single-player value first, network second).
  • Being asked "how defensible is our network effect?" in a fundraise or board conversation.
  • Deciding whether to launch city-by-city or in one big push.
  • Working on a creator / UGC platform and trying to identify who the hard-side users are.
  • Post-launch, at scale, wondering whether the ceiling problems are fixable or structural.
  • Cloning a competitor's network product and trying to attack their moat (cherry-picking argument).

Read the full file on GitHub · 109 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 109 lines · 387 tokens per session scan A 5261b09998a1

Subscribe to this mod's changes

cold-start-problem is a skill published in the GitHub repository marcos-sponton/frameworks-as-skills (1 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 387 tokens to every session and 3,400 once invoked, about $0.0019 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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