surrogate-validation

surrogate-validation is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from SFETNI/Deep-Matter-Chem-Skills. It costs 3 tokens per session (7,488 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A guide for checking whether prediction models for materials and chemistry work reliably beyond the data used to train them. It covers ways to test accuracy, uncertainty, data leakage, and performance on new types of materials or chemicals.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it before trusting a model for screening candidates, optimization, scientific conclusions, or automated data collection.
Why use it?
It helps reveal when impressive test scores are misleading because related examples appeared in both training and test data, or because the model is being used outside its tested range.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it before trusting a model for screening candidates, optimization, scientific conclusions, or automated data collection.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/sfetni/deep-matter-chem-skills/surrogate-validation
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add SFETNI/Deep-Matter-Chem-Skills --skill surrogate-validation
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/SFETNI/Deep-Matter-Chem-Skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for surrogate-validation

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/sfetni/deep-matter-chem-skills/surrogate-validation/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/sfetni/deep-matter-chem-skills/surrogate-validation)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/sfetni/deep-matter-chem-skills/surrogate-validation"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/sfetni/deep-matter-chem-skills/surrogate-validation/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for surrogate-validation

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/sfetni/deep-matter-chem-skills/surrogate-validation"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/sfetni/deep-matter-chem-skills/surrogate-validation.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 3 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 7,488 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00003 $0.07488
Opus 5 $0.00002 $0.03744
Sonnet 5 $0.00001 $0.01498
Haiku 4.5 $0.00000 $0.00749

Measured 12d ago against content hash 454ad344ad48, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

surrogate-validation scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/surrogate-active-learning/surrogate-validation/SKILL.md · 665 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 665 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Surrogate Model Validation

Description

This skill covers validation of surrogate models for materials and chemistry: leakage-safe train/validation/test splits, nested cross-validation, leave-one-group-out validation, uncertainty calibration, parity and residual diagnostics, interpolation versus extrapolation checks, descriptor-domain coverage, learning curves, baseline and ablation studies, distribution-shift testing, and validation of Bayesian optimization or active learning loops. Invoke this skill before trusting a surrogate model for screening, optimization, scientific claims, or automated data acquisition.

Domain Context

A surrogate model is only useful if its validation protocol matches the way it will be used. A random split over a materials database may look strong because near-duplicate crystal prototypes, adjacent compositions, or repeated DFT tasks appear in both train and test sets. The same model may fail when asked to extrapolate to a new chemistry family, defect type, surface termination, or higher-fidelity calculation. Validation is therefore a statement about a deployment scenario, not a single score.

Materials and chemistry datasets are especially vulnerable to correlation leakage. Structures with the same prototype but different lattice constants can share almost identical descriptors. Consecutive active-learning iterations can contain many near-duplicate candidates. Database-derived records can duplicate the same material under several IDs. Random train/test splits treat these as independent, inflating R2 and deflating MAE.

Uncertainty validation is separate from point-error validation. A model can have acceptable MAE but be overconfident in extrapolation regions, making it dangerous for Bayesian optimization or active learning. Conversely, a conservative model may have wide intervals that cover most held-out labels but are too broad to guide decisions. Reliability diagrams, calibration curves, conformal intervals, and domain-shift tests are needed before using uncertainty as a query signal.

Read the full file on GitHub · 665 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago First seen · 665 lines · 3 tokens per session scan A 454ad344ad48

Subscribe to this mod's changes

surrogate-validation is a skill published in the GitHub repository SFETNI/Deep-Matter-Chem-Skills (6 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 3 tokens to every session and 7,488 once invoked, about $0.0000 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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