polymarket-btc-up-down-trader

polymarket-btc-up-down-trader is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk. It costs 75 tokens per session (2,909 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A Polymarket trading skill for daily and weekly Bitcoin up-or-down markets, using Binance momentum signals and predefined exit rules.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it for BTC direction markets lasting hours to days, with dry-run behavior by default. It is not intended for five- or fifteen-minute markets.
Why use it?
It manages exits based on time limits, trading-volume changes, or a captured target, reducing the need to monitor the position manually.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Which agent this was written for is unclear — built for openclaw. Also seen: positional $N argument; built for openclaw.

Good fit Use it for BTC direction markets lasting hours to days, with dry-run behavior by default. It is not intended for five- or fifteen-minute markets.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk --skill polymarket-btc-up-down-trader
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for polymarket-btc-up-down-trader

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for polymarket-btc-up-down-trader

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 75 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,909 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00075 $0.02909
Opus 5.5 $0.00030 $0.01164
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00015 $0.00582
Haiku 4.5 $0.00007 $0.00291

Measured 12d ago against content hash 285cc1e11820, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

polymarket-btc-up-down-trader scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 4 executable files (strategy.py, tests/__init__.py, tests/test_exits.py, …), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader/SKILL.md · 233 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 233 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Polymarket BTC Up-Down Trader

Trade Polymarket's BTC daily and weekly UP/DOWN markets with built-in exit discipline. Enters on Binance momentum signals, exits automatically before resolution tail risk bites.

🚨 Framework, not a production trading system. Read DISCLAIMER.md before connecting to a wallet with real funds.

Polymarket only. All trades execute on Polymarket with real USDC. Use --live for real trades; default is dry run.

Not for fast (5m/15m) markets. Use polymarket-fast-loop for those. This skill targets daily and weekly BTC direction markets with hours-to-days of duration.

What's New in v1.2.3

  • Removed the "Oracle-Engineering Halt Gate" section. This skill never called that detector, and it does not trade the ≤5-minute markets the gate targets. No code change.

What's New in v1.2.2

  • Live NO entry is YES-scale. avg_cost is the held-side price. A NO bought at 0.30 now stores entry 0.70 so target_hit can fire. Replay rows have no avg_cost and were already correct.

What's New in v1.2.1

  • Exit monitor reads real Position objects. client.get_positions() returns dataclasses, not dicts. Replay rows have shares + cost_basis only. Side, size, and YES-scale entry are derived. A missing sources list under replay is this skill.

What's New in v1.2.0

  • Replay plane (SIM-5442). Under simmer backtest (SIMMER_REPLAY=1) discovery, prices, and the clock come from the existing replay harness — same SIMMER_REPLAY / SIMMER_REPLAY_NOW pattern as weather. Live Gamma and CLOB midpoint stay dark. Candles were already replay-safe. The exit monitor reads SDK Position objects and replay share-rows (no .get crash after the first fill).
  • Keep / kill / fix for this path is in Troubleshooting. Do not add a second capital lane until a full-tape run can produce an honest KEEP or KILL.

⚠️ BTC UP/DOWN markets carry Polymarket's crypto taker fee. Effective rate is 3.5% at 50¢, up to ~6.6% on cheap shares. Makers pay 0% and earn a 20% rebate from collected taker fees. Factor this into your minimum edge threshold.

Read the full file on GitHub · 233 lines

Files

What ships with it

7 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago Changed · -8 lines 285cc1e11820
  2. 1mo ago Changed · -11 lines 35269f5803a2
  3. 1mo ago Changed · +28 lines 05dbf4a412f1
  4. 1mo ago First seen · 224 lines · 75 tokens per session scan A 600c6c907a26

Subscribe to this mod's changes

polymarket-btc-up-down-trader is a skill published in the GitHub repository SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk (52 stars, last pushed today), licensed MIT. It adds 75 tokens to every session and 2,909 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.