Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add hmesutozsoy/oddsrail --skill find-fade-setupgit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/hmesutozsoy/oddsrailWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/hmesutozsoy/oddsrail/find-fade-setup)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/hmesutozsoy/oddsrail/find-fade-setup"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/hmesutozsoy/oddsrail/find-fade-setup/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/hmesutozsoy/oddsrail/find-fade-setup"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/hmesutozsoy/oddsrail/find-fade-setup.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00045 | $0.00479 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00023 | $0.00239 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00009 | $0.00096 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00005 | $0.00048 |
Grade A, and why
find-fade-setup scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 4d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
What it actually says
find fade setup
Use the tools of the oddsrail MCP server (install: pip install oddsrail, then claude mcp add --transport stdio oddsrail -- oddsrail, or enable the oddsrail plugin). Prices are implied probabilities in (0,1). Trading tools are dry-run unless the operator has set ODDSRAIL_DRY_RUN=0; never assume an order was placed without checking the dry_run field of the result.
Find a fade setup on prediction markets related to: $ARGUMENTS.
Work in this order and stop if a step fails:
- find_markets('$ARGUMENTS') — pick liquid candidates (volume_24h > 10000).
- For each candidate, overshoot_signal(token_id) — you want fade_setup_active=true AND median_reversion_120s > 0.2. If median_reversion_120s is null, the series had no measurable history: treat that as no signal, not as a weak one.
- get_orderbook(token_id) — confirm the book is two-sided. bids/asks are already best-first here.
- quote_cost(venue, market_id, side, size) — the reversion must beat slippage + fees, not just the headline move. Most setups die here.
- resolution_criteria — a market that resolves ambiguously can strand the position regardless of price action.
- position_size(bankroll_usd=<bankroll_usd>, price, fair_value) where fair_value is the pre-jump price if you believe it fully reverts.
- check_order(venue, market_id, side, price, size, intent=<the operator's words>) — a 'block' ends it; read any 'caution' back to the operator.
- place_order(...) — dry-run first and read back the intent before setting ODDSRAIL_DRY_RUN=0.
Report the candidates you rejected and why; a rejected setup is a result.
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 4d ago Changed · +2 lines d3e2d684499e
- 6d ago First seen · 30 lines · 45 tokens per session scan A 1e4af9dcfac8
find-fade-setup is a skill published in the GitHub repository hmesutozsoy/oddsrail (0 stars, last pushed 2d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 45 tokens to every session and 479 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-04.
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