polymarket-weather-trader

polymarket-weather-trader is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk. It costs 65 tokens per session (4,271 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A trading tool for Polymarket weather markets, which are bets on future temperatures or weather outcomes. It uses NOAA forecasts for the United States and Open-Meteo forecasts for other countries through the Simmer API.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to check forecasts, find temperature-market opportunities, and run or automate weather-based trading strategies on Polymarket.
Why use it?
It removes the need to compare weather forecasts with market prices by hand. It runs in dry-run mode by default, helping test a strategy before using real money.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Which agent this was written for is unclear — built for openclaw. Also seen: positional $N argument; built for openclaw.

Good fit Use it to check forecasts, find temperature-market opportunities, and run or automate weather-based trading strategies on Polymarket.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-weather-trader
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk --skill polymarket-weather-trader
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for polymarket-weather-trader

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-weather-trader/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-weather-trader)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-weather-trader"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-weather-trader/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for polymarket-weather-trader

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-weather-trader"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-weather-trader.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 65 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 4,271 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00065 $0.04271
Opus 5 $0.00032 $0.02135
Sonnet 5 $0.00013 $0.00854
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00427

Measured 3d ago against content hash eff480ca847b, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

polymarket-weather-trader scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 3d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 8 executable files (scripts/status.py, tests/test_entry_safeguards.py, tests/test_resolution_criteria_reword.py, …), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/polymarket-weather-trader/SKILL.md · 248 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 248 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Polymarket Weather Trader

Trade temperature markets on Polymarket using NOAA forecast data.

🚨 Framework, not a production trading system. Read DISCLAIMER.md before connecting to a wallet with real funds.

Template skill. Defaults to dry-run mode (no real money). The --live flag is a deliberate single-command opt-in for real-money execution. Configure tunables (entry/exit thresholds, locations, etc.) via env vars listed below.

Safety rails (read first)

This skill executes real-money trades on Polymarket only when the --live flag is passed AND the human's wallet is linked to their Simmer account. Trading is bounded by default:

  • Dry-run is the default. python weather_trader.py (no flag) shows opportunities but executes no trades. The --live flag is required for real-money execution. There is no "auto-graduate" path.
  • $SIM paper sandbox option. Set TRADING_VENUE=sim to trade Simmer's $SIM virtual currency at real prices — useful for validating the strategy without USDC exposure.
  • Real-money trading requires explicit human verification. A wallet must be linked at simmer.markets/dashboard before any real trade lands. Without a linked wallet the SDK rejects real-money order construction.
  • Per-trade cap. SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION_USD defaults to $2.00 per trade. Configurable via env var, capped at the user's dashboard-set platform per-trade limit.
  • Daily caps. Platform-level daily caps apply (max trades/day, max USD/day). Set at simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK settings.
  • Auto stop-loss is ON by default. Server-side risk monitor watches every buy. Threshold is configurable per user at simmer.markets/dashboard → Settings → Auto Risk Monitor. It cannot protect against gap-resolution, though: weather temperature buckets jump straight to about 0 at resolution rather than decaying through your stop, so a percentage stop has no price to trigger on and no liquidity to exit into. Size for the full loss, not for the stop. See DISCLAIMER.md.
  • Strategy-side safeguards. Beyond platform risk monitors, this skill checks flip-flop, slippage (SIMMER_WEATHER_SLIPPAGE_MAX, default 15%), time-decay (SIMMER_WEATHER_MIN_HOURS_TO_RESOLVE, default 2h), and resolved-market status before every order. Disable only with --no-safeguards (not recommended).
  • Reversibility. Open positions exit automatically when price > SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT_THRESHOLD (default 0.45), or via client.cancel_order() / a manual sell. ENTRY_THRESHOLD is an upper bound (buy below). If you raise it above the exit default (e.g. entry 0.50 vs exit 0.45), the skill will try to sell the same position on the next cycle — raise EXIT_THRESHOLD too, or own exits yourself.

Read the full file on GitHub · 248 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 3d ago Changed · +11 lines eff480ca847b
  2. 6d ago Changed 80721c0c1a9f
  3. 12d ago First seen · 237 lines · 65 tokens per session scan A 53530c46849a

Subscribe to this mod's changes

polymarket-weather-trader is a skill published in the GitHub repository SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk (48 stars, last pushed today), licensed MIT. It adds 65 tokens to every session and 4,271 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.