polymarket-elon-tweets

polymarket-elon-tweets is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk. It costs 70 tokens per session (2,457 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A trading tool for Polymarket markets that ask how many posts Elon Musk will make during a period. It uses XTracker's live post counts and projection to choose nearby answer ranges, called buckets.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to monitor tweet-count events, check XTracker pace, trade adjacent range buckets, and manage existing positions.
Why use it?
It removes the need to track the post count and compare several bucket prices manually. The strategy buys a centre range and neighbouring ranges only when their combined cost is below the possible $1 payout.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: positional $N argument.

Good fit Use it to monitor tweet-count events, check XTracker pace, trade adjacent range buckets, and manage existing positions.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-elon-tweets
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk --skill polymarket-elon-tweets
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for polymarket-elon-tweets

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-elon-tweets/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-elon-tweets)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-elon-tweets"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-elon-tweets/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for polymarket-elon-tweets

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-elon-tweets"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/spartanlabsxyz/simmer-sdk/polymarket-elon-tweets.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 70 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,457 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector pass 7 Sept 2026
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00070 $0.02457
Opus 5 $0.00035 $0.01229
Sonnet 5 $0.00014 $0.00491
Haiku 4.5 $0.00007 $0.00246

Measured 6d ago against content hash 415a9ff3212c, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

polymarket-elon-tweets scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

The scan reads SKILL.md. This mod also ships 3 executable files (elon_tweets.py, scripts/status.py, tests/test_slippage_bps.py), listed below but not scanned — reading those needs a real analyzer, not pattern matching.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/polymarket-elon-tweets/SKILL.md · 244 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 244 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Polymarket Elon Tweet Trader

Trade "Elon Musk # tweets" markets on Polymarket using XTracker post count data.

🚨 Framework, not a production trading system. Read DISCLAIMER.md before connecting to a wallet with real funds.

When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:

  • Trade Elon Musk tweet count markets automatically
  • Set up @noovd-style bucket trading
  • Check XTracker pace and stats for current tweet events
  • Monitor and exit existing tweet market positions
  • Configure bucket spread or entry thresholds

How the Strategy Works

Polymarket runs weekly "How many tweets will Elon post?" events with range buckets (e.g., 200-219, 220-239, 240-259). Exactly one bucket resolves YES = $1. The strategy:

  1. Get XTracker pace — XTracker tracks Elon's real-time post count and projects the final total
  2. Find center bucket — The bucket containing XTracker's projected pace
  3. Buy adjacent buckets — Buy the center + neighbors (configurable spread)
  4. Check combined cost — Only buy if the sum of bucket prices < $1 (the +EV threshold)
  5. One bucket pays $1 — When the event resolves, one of your buckets pays $1, covering costs

Setup Flow

When user asks to install or configure this skill:

  1. Install the Simmer SDK

    pip install simmer-sdk
    
  2. Ask for Simmer API key

    • They can get it from simmer.markets/dashboard → SDK tab
    • Store in environment as SIMMER_API_KEY
  3. Ask for wallet private key (required for live trading)

    • This is the private key for their Polymarket wallet (the wallet that holds USDC)
    • Store in environment as WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY
    • The SDK uses this to sign orders client-side automatically — no manual signing needed
  4. Ask about settings (or confirm defaults)

    • Max bucket sum: Combined price threshold (default 90¢)
    • Max position: Amount per bucket (default $5.00)
    • Bucket spread: How many neighbors to buy (default 1 = center ± 1)
    • Exit threshold: When to sell (default 65¢)

Read the full file on GitHub · 244 lines

Files

What ships with it

6 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago Changed 415a9ff3212c
  2. 13d ago First seen · 244 lines · 70 tokens per session scan A 866a61250a50

Subscribe to this mod's changes

polymarket-elon-tweets is a skill published in the GitHub repository SpartanLabsXyz/simmer-sdk (48 stars, last pushed today), licensed MIT. It adds 70 tokens to every session and 2,457 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.