btc-bottom-model

btc-bottom-model is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from star23/Day1Global-Skills. It costs 224 tokens per session (5,812 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A Bitcoin cycle-timing model that combines 13 market, on-chain, and sentiment indicators into a score from 0 to 100. On-chain data comes from activity recorded on the Bitcoin network, while sentiment measures how optimistic or fearful traders are.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to assess Bitcoin's position in its market cycle, review possible bottom or overheating signals, and consider whether the data supports building or reducing a position.
Why use it?
It brings fast-moving signals such as fund flows and funding rates together with longer-term measures such as long-term-holder behavior. This gives one structured view of whether the market looks fearful or overheated.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: positional $N argument.

Good fit Use it to assess Bitcoin's position in its market cycle, review possible bottom or overheating signals, and consider whether the data supports building or reducing a position.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/star23/day1global-skills/btc-bottom-model
About the project

Day1Global-Skills is a collection of investment-analysis skills for AI agents covering technology earnings, value investing, stock-market sentiment, macroeconomic liquidity, and Bitcoin-cycle analysis. Investors use the skills to examine companies, markets, economic conditions, and crypto indicators through structured analysis workflows. The catalogue skills are the project’s own agent workflows.

star23/Day1Global-Skills · 1,048 stars · on GitHub

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add star23/Day1Global-Skills --skill btc-bottom-model
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/star23/Day1Global-Skills

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for btc-bottom-model

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/star23/day1global-skills/btc-bottom-model/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/star23/day1global-skills/btc-bottom-model)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/star23/day1global-skills/btc-bottom-model"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/star23/day1global-skills/btc-bottom-model/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for btc-bottom-model

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/star23/day1global-skills/btc-bottom-model"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/star23/day1global-skills/btc-bottom-model.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 224 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 5,812 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • Socket pass 15 Apr 2026
  • Snyk warn 15 Apr 2026
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector warn 7 Sept 2026
SkillSpector: 1 finding, up to high

These are SkillSpector’s own severities. On a checked sample its high-severity flags on skills were ~96% false positives — a documented command, a public API, a “never do X” rule — so we show them as a caution to read, not a verdict. Why →

  • high System Prompt Leakage · line 389
    Skill contains instructions that could directly expose system prompts, internal rules, or hidden instructions to users or external parties.
    Fix: Remove any instructions that reveal, print, or output system prompts or internal rules. System instructions should never be exposed to end users.
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00224 $0.05812
Opus 5 $0.00112 $0.02906
Sonnet 5 $0.00045 $0.01162
Haiku 4.5 $0.00022 $0.00581

Measured 11d ago against content hash 1179df5fc9cd, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

btc-bottom-model scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 11d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

Origin

Copies of this mod

1 near-identical copy found in the catalogue:

btc-bottom-model/SKILL.md · 407 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 407 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Bitcoin Cycle Timing Model (BTC Market Heat Scoring System)

This skill helps you systematically assess where Bitcoin sits in its market cycle — from extreme fear (accumulation opportunity) to extreme greed (distribution/exit signal). Through a weighted evaluation of 13 on-chain, sentiment, and market indicators, it produces a 0-100 Market Heat Score and actionable buy/sell recommendations.

Use Cases

Use this skill when users ask the following types of questions:

  • Has Bitcoin bottomed out / Can I buy the dip
  • Is Bitcoin overheated / Should I take profits
  • Where is BTC in the current cycle
  • Do on-chain data support building or reducing a position
  • What are long-term holders doing / Are ETFs buying or selling
  • Is leverage too high / Is the market too greedy

Scoring System Overview

The model uses a weighted composite score from 0 to 100:

  • 0 = Extreme Fear (historically the best buying opportunities)
  • 100 = Extreme Greed (historically the best selling opportunities)

Indicators are split into two groups:

Group Weight Purpose Indicators
Daily Pulse 32 / 100 Fast-moving sentiment & flow signals 4 indicators
Weekly Structure 68 / 100 Slow-moving on-chain & cycle signals 9 indicators

The heavier weighting on weekly/structural indicators reflects their superior track record in identifying cycle extremes.


Daily Pulse Indicators (32 points total)

For each indicator, use web_search to find the latest data, then score according to the normalization rules below. Each indicator's raw value is normalized to a 0-100 sub-score, then multiplied by its weight to get its contribution to the total.

D1: Bitcoin ETF Daily Net Flow (Weight: 12 points)

What it is: The net amount of money flowing into or out of spot Bitcoin ETFs (like BlackRock's IBIT, Fidelity's FBTC) each day. Large inflows = institutional buying pressure; large outflows = institutional selling pressure. This became one of the most important demand indicators after spot BTC ETFs launched in January 2024.

Read the full file on GitHub · 407 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 11d ago First seen · 407 lines · 224 tokens per session scan A 1179df5fc9cd

Subscribe to this mod's changes

btc-bottom-model is a skill published in the GitHub repository star23/Day1Global-Skills (1,048 stars, last pushed 23d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 224 tokens to every session and 5,812 once invoked, about $0.0011 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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