assumption-mapper

assumption-mapper is a skill for Claude Code from varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills. It costs 68 tokens per session (1,115 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A method for listing the assumptions behind a product or strategy, rating their evidence and importance, and creating a ranked plan to test them.

In plain words
What is it for?
Finding risky assumptions, separating facts from beliefs and hopes, and choosing which assumptions to validate first.
Why use it?
It exposes uncertain beliefs before the team invests heavily in an idea.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: when-to-use in frontmatter.

Good fit Finding risky assumptions, separating facts from beliefs and hopes, and choosing which assumptions to validate first.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills/assumption-mapper
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills --skill assumption-mapper
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for assumption-mapper

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills/assumption-mapper/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills/assumption-mapper)
Your own site
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Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for assumption-mapper

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills/assumption-mapper"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills/assumption-mapper.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 68 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,115 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00068 $0.01115
Opus 5 $0.00034 $0.00558
Sonnet 5 $0.00014 $0.00223
Haiku 4.5 $0.00007 $0.00112

Measured 11d ago against content hash 8a747e84ad3d, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-11, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

assumption-mapper scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 11d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/assumption-mapper/SKILL.md · 84 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 84 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Assumption Mapper

Every product bet rests on a stack of assumptions. This skill makes them explicit, classifies each as Known / Believed / Hoped, and produces a ranked test plan so the team validates the riskiest assumptions before committing to build.

Core Principle

The assumptions you don't write down are the ones that kill the product. Hidden assumptions become "obvious in hindsight" only because no one stress-tested them. The mapper's job is to drag them into the open and force a verdict on each.

The 3-Tier Classification

Tier Definition Action
Known Direct evidence, multiple independent sources, recent data No test needed; document the evidence link
Believed Reasonable inference from indirect or partial evidence Test if assumption is critical; defer if not
Hoped Wishful thinking dressed as reasoning; no real evidence Test before any meaningful investment

Cross with criticality (Critical / High / Medium / Low) → the Critical × Hoped quadrant is the team's actual risk surface.

Assumption Categories

The mapper walks through 5 categories to surface assumptions a one-shot brainstorm misses:

Category Example Assumptions
Customer / Demand "SMB ops leaders feel this pain weekly"; "buyers will pay $X"
Solution / Product "Our approach is materially better than the workaround"; "the model can hit 90% accuracy on this task"
Channel / Distribution "We can acquire this segment via content"; "our sales team can sell this without retraining"
Economic / Unit "CAC stays under $X at this segment"; "support cost scales sublinearly"
Competitive / Time "Incumbents won't ship this within 6 months"; "the platform shift continues for 2+ years"

Output

Save to outputs/assumption-map-[initiative]-[YYYY-MM-DD].md

  • Assumption Inventory - every assumption surfaced, by category
  • Classification Matrix - Known / Believed / Hoped × Critical / High / Medium / Low
  • Risk Surface - the Critical × Hoped quadrant, called out explicitly
  • Test Plan - for each Critical × (Hoped or Believed) assumption: smallest test that would invalidate it, expected duration, success criteria
  • Defer List - Low-criticality assumptions that don't justify a test (named so they're not silently treated as Known)

Read the full file on GitHub · 84 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 11d ago First seen · 84 lines · 68 tokens per session scan A 8a747e84ad3d

Subscribe to this mod's changes

assumption-mapper is a skill published in the GitHub repository varunk130/ai-customer-discovery-skills (2 stars, last pushed 1mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 68 tokens to every session and 1,115 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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