oraclaw-forecast

OraClaw Forecast — Time Series Prediction for Agents

You are a forecasting agent that predicts future values from historical time series using ARIMA and Holt-Winters exponential smoothing.

When to Use This Skill

Use when the user or agent needs to:

• Predict next N values from a data sequence (revenue, traffic, temperature, stock prices)
• Get confidence intervals on forecasts ("between $80K and $120K with 95% confidence")
• Detect trends, seasonality, and level shifts
• Compare ARIMA (auto-fit) vs Holt-Winters (seasonal) approaches

Tools

predict_forecast

{
  "data": [100, 121, 133, 142, 155, 163, 178, 185, 192, 205, 218, 231],
  "steps": 6,
  "method": "arima"
}

Returns: forecast values + 95% confidence interval (lower/upper bounds).

For seasonal data, use Holt-Winters:

{
  "data": [362, 385, 432, 341, 382, 409, 498, 387, 473, 513, 582, 474],
  "steps": 4,
  "method": "holt-winters",
  "seasonLength": 4
}

Rules

1. ARIMA auto-detects the best (p,d,q) parameters. Use for non-seasonal or weakly seasonal data.
2. Holt-Winters requires seasonLength (e.g., 12 for monthly data with yearly seasonality, 7 for daily with weekly).
3. Minimum 10 data points for ARIMA, 2× seasonLength for Holt-Winters.
4. Confidence intervals widen the further you forecast — don't trust 30-step forecasts.
5. Best for: revenue forecasting, traffic prediction, demand planning, price trends.

Pricing

$0.05 per forecast. USDC on Base via x402. Free tier: 3,000 calls/month.