Getting it into your agent
One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.
npx skills add xuansenpa1/skillrevise --skill first-order-model-fittinggit clone --depth 1 https://github.com/xuansenpa1/skillreviseWrote this? Show the measurements
A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.
[](https://agentmods.dev/skills/xuansenpa1/skillrevise/first-order-model-fitting)<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/xuansenpa1/skillrevise/first-order-model-fitting"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/xuansenpa1/skillrevise/first-order-model-fitting/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/xuansenpa1/skillrevise/first-order-model-fitting"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/xuansenpa1/skillrevise/first-order-model-fitting.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>What it costs to keep this loaded
Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.
| Model | Per session | Once invoked |
|---|---|---|
| Fable 5.1 | $0.00029 | $0.00717 |
| Opus 5 | $0.00015 | $0.00358 |
| Sonnet 5 | $0.00006 | $0.00143 |
| Haiku 4.5 | $0.00003 | $0.00072 |
Grade A, and why
first-order-model-fitting scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 8d ago.
A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.
Nothing flagged
None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.
This is a copy
100% identical to first-order-model-fitting — 0 lines differ, which has more behind it and is treated as the original. This page carries a canonical link to it rather than competing with it.
How it starts
The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 100 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.
First-Order System Model Fitting
Overview
Many physical systems (thermal, electrical, mechanical) exhibit first-order dynamics. This skill explains the mathematical model and how to extract parameters from experimental data.
The First-Order Model
The dynamics are described by:
tau * dy/dt + y = y_ambient + K * u
Where:
y= output variable (e.g., temperature, voltage, position)u= input variable (e.g., power, current, force)K= process gain (output change per unit input at steady state)tau= time constant (seconds) - characterizes response speedy_ambient= baseline/ambient value
Step Response Formula
When you apply a step input from 0 to u, the output follows:
y(t) = y_ambient + K * u * (1 - exp(-t/tau))
This is the key equation for fitting.
Extracting Parameters
Process Gain (K)
At steady state (t -> infinity), the exponential term goes to zero:
y_steady = y_ambient + K * u
Therefore:
K = (y_steady - y_ambient) / u
Time Constant (tau)
The time constant can be found from the 63.2% rise point:
At t = tau:
y(tau) = y_ambient + K*u*(1 - exp(-1))
= y_ambient + 0.632 * (y_steady - y_ambient)
So tau is the time to reach 63.2% of the final output change.
Model Function for Curve Fitting
def step_response(t, K, tau, y_ambient, u):
"""First-order step response model."""
return y_ambient + K * u * (1 - np.exp(-t / tau))
When fitting, you typically fix y_ambient (from initial reading) and u (known input), leaving only K and tau as unknowns:
def model(t, K, tau):
return y_ambient + K * u * (1 - np.exp(-t / tau))
Practical Tips
- Use rising portion data: The step response formula applies during the transient phase
- Exclude initial flat region: Start your fit from when the input changes
- Handle noisy data: Fitting naturally averages out measurement noise
- Check units: Ensure K has correct units (output units / input units)
What this file has done since we first saw it
Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.
- 8d ago First seen · 100 lines · 29 tokens per session scan A 96c792fe902e
first-order-model-fitting is a skill published in the GitHub repository xuansenpa1/skillrevise (56 stars, last pushed 6d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 29 tokens to every session and 717 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. It is 100% identical to first-order-model-fitting, differing in 0 lines, and is treated as a copy.
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