confidence-calibration

confidence-calibration is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from yogsoth-ai/stress-test. It costs 28 tokens per session (333 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A review step that updates how confident a multi-round debate is in its current result. It uses earlier judgments, confidence scores, and the remaining budget to decide whether to continue, escalate, or stop.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to assess debate progress, detect diminishing returns, and choose the next action.
Why use it?
It helps decide when more debate or searching is worthwhile and when it is producing little new evidence.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one. Also seen: mentions subagents.

Good fit Use it to assess debate progress, detect diminishing returns, and choose the next action.

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Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/yogsoth-ai/stress-test/confidence-calibration
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add yogsoth-ai/stress-test --skill confidence-calibration
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/yogsoth-ai/stress-test

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for confidence-calibration

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yogsoth-ai/stress-test/confidence-calibration/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/yogsoth-ai/stress-test/confidence-calibration)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/yogsoth-ai/stress-test/confidence-calibration"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yogsoth-ai/stress-test/confidence-calibration/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for confidence-calibration

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/yogsoth-ai/stress-test/confidence-calibration"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yogsoth-ai/stress-test/confidence-calibration.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 28 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 333 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00028 $0.00333
Opus 5.5 $0.00011 $0.00133
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00006 $0.00067
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00033

Measured 1mo ago against content hash 1f8b0e844b06, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

confidence-calibration scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 1mo ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/confidence-calibration/SKILL.md · 53 lines

What it actually says

Confidence Calibration

Calibrates confidence based on debate progression.

Execution

Subagent — spawned via subagent-spawning/spawn-agent.

Why Subagent

Calibration requires meta-analysis of debate trajectory without being anchored to any single round's outcome. Isolated context enables objective trend assessment.

Input

  • round_verdicts: All judge verdicts so far
  • confidence_history: Confidence scores from each round
  • budget_remaining: Rounds/searches remaining in budget

Output

  • calibrated_confidence: Updated confidence in artifact viability (0.0–1.0)
  • decision: escalate / continue / terminate
  • reasoning: Why this decision given the trajectory
  • saturation_flag: Whether debate is producing diminishing returns

Budget

One unit = one calibration assessment per round.

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP When to use
spawn-agent Spawn a customized CC subagent with full MCP tool access. Used by SOPs that declare execution: subagent.
Files

What ships with it

1 file beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 1mo ago First seen · 53 lines · 28 tokens per session scan A 1f8b0e844b06

Subscribe to this mod's changes

confidence-calibration is a skill published in the GitHub repository yogsoth-ai/stress-test (2 stars, last pushed 4mo ago), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 28 tokens to every session and 333 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5.5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

Related

Other skills, from other repositories