trend-analysis

trend-analysis is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from zircote-plugins/sigint. It costs 63 tokens per session (1,639 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A guide for finding and assessing patterns of change over time in markets and industries. It separates large-scale changes, such as economic or technological shifts, from smaller industry or customer developments.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to identify market trends, emerging patterns, industry changes, macro and micro trends, and possible future scenarios.
Why use it?
It helps distinguish lasting movements from isolated events and connect observed changes to possible future conditions. It provides a consistent way to record signals, scenarios, and indicators to monitor.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Part of the sigint plugin — 16 skills, 9 commands, 6 agents, 1 hook shipped together

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/zircote-plugins/sigint/trend-analysis
Any agent
npx skills add zircote-plugins/sigint --skill trend-analysis
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/zircote-plugins/sigint

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Or install sigint, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 16 skills, 9 commands, 6 agents, 1 hook.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for trend-analysis

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/zircote-plugins/sigint/trend-analysis.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/zircote-plugins/sigint/trend-analysis)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/zircote-plugins/sigint/trend-analysis"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/zircote-plugins/sigint/trend-analysis.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 63 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,639 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5 $0.00063 $0.01639
Opus 5 $0.00032 $0.00820
Sonnet 5 $0.00013 $0.00328
Haiku 4.5 $0.00006 $0.00164

Measured 4d ago against content hash 359de6a407a0, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-08-30, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

trend-analysis scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 4d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/trend-analysis/SKILL.md · 218 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 218 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Trend Analysis

Overview

Trend analysis identifies patterns of change over time to anticipate future market conditions. This skill covers methodologies for discovering, validating, and projecting trends at macro and micro levels.

Required Frameworks

Framework Output Section Required Condition
Macro Trends Table Macro Trends yes
Micro Trends Table Micro Trends yes
Emerging Signals Emerging Signals yes
Transitional Scenario Graph Transitional Scenario Graph yes
Terminal Scenarios Terminal Scenarios yes
Monitoring Indicators Monitoring Indicators yes

Trend Categories

Macro Trends (3-10+ years)

Large-scale shifts affecting multiple industries. Always classify each macro trend into one of these five categories and label it explicitly:

  • Economic: Interest rates, inflation, employment, trade flows, pricing pressure
  • Technological: AI, blockchain, quantum computing, automation, platform shifts
  • Social: Demographics, values, behaviors, workforce changes, cultural shifts
  • Environmental: Climate, sustainability, resources, regulatory carbon targets
  • Political: Regulation, trade policy, governance, geopolitical risk

When presenting macro trends, include the category label (e.g., "Technological: AI-driven precision agriculture") so the classification is visible in the output.

Micro Trends (1-3 years)

Industry or segment-specific patterns:

  • Feature adoption curves
  • Pricing model shifts
  • Channel preferences
  • Buying behavior changes
  • Competitive dynamics

Emerging Signals (< 1 year)

Early indicators of potential trends:

  • Startup activity
  • Patent filings
  • Research papers
  • Early adopter behavior
  • Influencer attention

For each emerging signal, always state what it may indicate or suggest using language such as "This signal suggests...", "This may indicate...", "The implication is...", or "This points to...". Every signal must be paired with its potential implication.

Read the full file on GitHub · 218 lines

Files

What ships with it

4 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 4d ago First seen · 218 lines · 63 tokens per session scan A 359de6a407a0

Subscribe to this mod's changes

trend-analysis is a skill published in the GitHub repository zircote-plugins/sigint (20 stars, last pushed 17d ago), licensed MIT. It adds 63 tokens to every session and 1,639 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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