think-futures-wheel

think-futures-wheel is a skill for Claude Code from product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills. It costs 70 tokens per session (791 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A consequence map that starts with a change or decision and traces its immediate, second-order, and third-order effects. Second-order effects are what happen because of the first effects, and so on.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to explore the knock-on effects of a policy, product change, organizational decision, or other event that may create consequences over time or across different areas.
Why use it?
It reveals downstream risks and opportunities that a quick analysis of only the immediate result can miss. It also highlights which branches deserve attention.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the thinking-framework-skills plugin — 68 skills, 10 commands, 1 agent shipped together

Good fit Use it to explore the knock-on effects of a policy, product change, organizational decision, or other event that may create consequences over time or across different areas.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-futures-wheel
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills --skill think-futures-wheel
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install thinking-framework-skills, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 68 skills, 10 commands, 1 agent.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for think-futures-wheel

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-futures-wheel/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-futures-wheel)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-futures-wheel"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-futures-wheel/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for think-futures-wheel

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-futures-wheel"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills/think-futures-wheel.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 70 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 791 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00070 $0.00791
Opus 5 $0.00035 $0.00396
Sonnet 5 $0.00014 $0.00158
Haiku 4.5 $0.00007 $0.00079

Measured 12d ago against content hash e075588c4961, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

think-futures-wheel scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 12d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/think-futures-wheel/SKILL.md · 62 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 62 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Futures Wheel

Most analysis stops at first-order consequences: the immediate, obvious results. A futures wheel pushes past that. The change goes at the center; first-order consequences radiate around it; each of those spawns second-order consequences ("and then what?"); then third-order. The structure forces attention onto the downstream and cross-domain ripples that linear thinking skips, and flags the branches worth a response. The output is a consequence map. For a quick pass, a lightweight "second-order effects" mode runs only the first-to-second step.

When to Use

  • A decision or change has knock-on effects that play out over time.
  • First-order analysis is missing downstream risks or opportunities.
  • Scanning the systemic side effects of a new idea before committing.

When NOT to Use

  • Simple, linear situations with no meaningful higher-order effects.
  • When you need to decide, not explore (hand the map to a decision skill).
  • When the result would be branches to irrelevance rather than a focused map.

Instructions

When asked to build a futures wheel, follow these steps:

  1. Center it. State the change or decision at the middle, in one line.
  2. First order. List the immediate, direct consequences. Span domains (technical, financial, customer, team, competitive), not just the obvious one.
  3. Second order. For each meaningful first-order effect, ask "and then what happens?" and add its consequences.
  4. Third order. For the branches that still matter, extend one more step. Stop a branch when it goes trivial.
  5. Flag the branches that matter. Mark the high-impact or non-obvious consequences, and add a one-line "watch or do about it" for each.
  6. Emit the consequence map per references/TEMPLATE.md.

Output Format

Use the template in references/TEMPLATE.md. The deliverable is the nested consequence map with flagged branches, not prose.

Read the full file on GitHub · 62 lines

Files

What ships with it

6 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 12d ago First seen · 62 lines · 70 tokens per session scan A e075588c4961

Subscribe to this mod's changes

think-futures-wheel is a skill published in the GitHub repository product-on-purpose/thinking-framework-skills (15 stars, last pushed today), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 70 tokens to every session and 791 once invoked, about $0.0003 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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