pm-assumption-testing

pm-assumption-testing is a skill for Claude Code from Uxcel-Lab/product-skills. It costs 99 tokens per session (2,385 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A product-planning skill for testing the assumptions behind an idea before building it. It turns uncertain beliefs into hypotheses that can be checked with focused evidence.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to identify risky assumptions, define success criteria, choose suitable tests, and review an existing validation plan.
Why use it?
It helps avoid building an expensive solution or running a weak survey when a cheaper test could answer the key question.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the uxcel plugin — 58 skills shipped together

Good fit Use it to identify risky assumptions, define success criteria, choose suitable tests, and review an existing validation plan.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-testing
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add Uxcel-Lab/product-skills --skill assumption-testing
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/Uxcel-Lab/product-skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install uxcel, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 58 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for pm-assumption-testing

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-testing/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-testing)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-testing"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-testing/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for pm-assumption-testing

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-testing"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/uxcel-lab/product-skills/assumption-testing.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 99 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 2,385 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00099 $0.02385
Opus 5 $0.00049 $0.01192
Sonnet 5 $0.00020 $0.00477
Haiku 4.5 $0.00010 $0.00238

Measured 9d ago against content hash 5bb7cd3b2e7b, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

pm-assumption-testing scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

pm/processes/assumption-testing/SKILL.md · 100 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 100 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Assumption Testing Skill

How this skill behaves (read first)

This is a generative skill, and "validate our idea" is a default trap. The instinctive move is to jump to a method — build an MVP, run a survey, ship an A/B test — or to test the idea ("do you like this?", which everyone says yes to) instead of the assumptions the idea depends on. The other failure is investment mismatch: writing code to answer a question a one-day test would settle, or betting the quarter on a hallway poll. So this skill gates:

  1. Establish the decision and its stakes — what choice does this inform, and how reversible/expensive is it? That sets how much rigor is warranted.
  2. Apply the always-true core — decompose into testable assumptions, prioritize the riskiest, phrase them falsifiably, set success criteria up front.
  3. Choose the method deliberately — surface the fidelity/method decision with trade-offs; don't default to "build it and see."

Then it hands the plan to pm-assumption-rigor-audit to validate (and pm-okr-metric-validity-audit for the success metric). Applying every test type to every assumption is the failure mode — match one good method to each risky belief.


Step 0 — Establish context before planning tests

Ask if not known; state the assumption if proceeding without an answer:

  • What decision does this inform, and how reversible is it? A cheap, reversible tweak needs a fast low-fi check; a costly, hard-to-undo bet earns stronger evidence. Rigor scales to stakes — over-testing a trivial call is as wrong as under-testing a big one.
  • What stage are we at? Testing the problem (does anyone care?) vs. the solution (can they use/engage with it?) vs. viability/scale (will they pay, does it hold up?). Each stage points to a different method tier.
  • What's the leap-of-faith belief? The one assumption that, if false, sinks the idea. Name it before anything else.
  • Resources & timeline — what can realistically be run now? The cheapest method that answers the question wins.

Read the full file on GitHub · 100 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 100 lines · 99 tokens per session scan A 5bb7cd3b2e7b

Subscribe to this mod's changes

pm-assumption-testing is a skill published in the GitHub repository Uxcel-Lab/product-skills (10 stars, last pushed 2mo ago), licensed MIT. It adds 99 tokens to every session and 2,385 once invoked, about $0.0005 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-31.

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