aejmac-identification

aejmac-identification is a skill for Claude Code from brycewang-stanford/Awesome-Journal-Skills. It costs 0 tokens per session (1,677 once invoked), scanned A, original, MIT.

A guide for defending the method used to identify the effect of a macroeconomic shock or policy in an academic paper. Macroeconomics studies economy-wide issues such as inflation, employment, growth, and interest rates.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to choose and explain methods such as structural vector autoregressions, local projections, narrative evidence, or high-frequency instruments, and to plan uncertainty reporting.
Why use it?
It addresses cases where a claimed shock may be anticipated, linked to other economic conditions, or measured with weak assumptions, making the causal result hard to trust.

Skill for Claude Code

Written for Claude Code: shipped in a Claude Code plugin.

Part of the aej-macroeconomics-skills plugin — 12 skills shipped together

Good fit Use it to choose and explain methods such as structural vector autoregressions, local projections, narrative evidence, or high-frequency instruments, and to plan uncertainty reporting.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/brycewang-stanford/awesome-journal-skills/aejmac-identification
About the project

Awesome Journal Skills is a collection of agent skill packs tailored to hundreds of academic journals across fields including economics, social science, medicine, science, and engineering. Researchers use the packs for tasks such as choosing topics, designing empirical strategies, preparing tables and figures, submitting papers, and responding to reviewers. The catalogue entries are the project's journal-specific skills and related plugins.

brycewang-stanford/Awesome-Journal-Skills · 1,264 stars · on GitHub · copaper.ai

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add brycewang-stanford/Awesome-Journal-Skills --skill aejmac-identification
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/brycewang-stanford/Awesome-Journal-Skills

Made for: Claude Code.

Or install aej-macroeconomics-skills, the plugin that ships this one along with the rest of its 12 skills.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for aejmac-identification

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brycewang-stanford/awesome-journal-skills/aejmac-identification/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/brycewang-stanford/awesome-journal-skills/aejmac-identification)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/brycewang-stanford/awesome-journal-skills/aejmac-identification"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brycewang-stanford/awesome-journal-skills/aejmac-identification/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for aejmac-identification

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/brycewang-stanford/awesome-journal-skills/aejmac-identification"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/brycewang-stanford/awesome-journal-skills/aejmac-identification.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 0 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,677 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00000 $0.01677
Opus 5.5 $0.00000 $0.00671
Sonnet 5.5 $0.00000 $0.00335
Haiku 4.5 $0.00000 $0.00168

Measured 1mo ago against content hash 9ccaa5023993, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-10-07, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

aejmac-identification scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 1mo ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

AEJ-Macroeconomics-Skills/skills/aejmac-identification/SKILL.md · 94 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 94 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Empirical Identification (aejmac-identification)

When to trigger

  • The macro effect rests on a recursive (Cholesky) SVAR with no defense of the ordering
  • A monetary/fiscal "shock" is plausibly anticipated or endogenous to the cycle
  • Local projections are run but lag length, controls, and inference are ad hoc
  • A narrative or high-frequency instrument is used but its exogeneity/relevance is unargued
  • You are unsure the design clears AEJ: Macro's identified-empirical bar

The AEJ: Macro identification bar

AEJ: Macro publishes identified-empirical macro, so the mapping from data to the dynamic causal object (an impulse response, a multiplier, a pass-through) must be explicit and defended. The aggregate, time-series setting makes identification harder than in micro: few effective observations, anticipation, simultaneity, and structural breaks. State the shock you claim to identify, the assumption that delivers it, and the horizon and object you report. Report standard errors / confidence bands (the AEA house style; significance asterisks are conventional in AEA tables but the band/SE must carry the inference, not the stars).

Branch paths

Branch A: Structural VAR (SVAR)

  • Recursive (Cholesky): defend the ordering as an economic timing assumption, not a default; show robustness to plausible reorderings.
  • Sign restrictions: state the full set; acknowledge set-identification (report the identified set / median-target with a credible band, not a point as if point-identified); address the "multiple models" critique.
  • Long-run / Blanchard–Quah: justify the long-run neutrality assumption.
  • Proxy-VAR / external instruments (SVAR-IV): show instrument relevance (reliability/F) and defend exogeneity; report weak-instrument-robust bands where relevance is marginal.

Branch B: Local projections (LP)

  • Report the horizon-by-horizon IRF with bands; state lag length and control set and show robustness to them.
  • Use Newey–West / HAC or LP-specific inference; for panel LP cluster appropriately.
  • Consider LP-IV when the shock needs instrumenting; report the first-stage strength.
  • Address the LP-vs-VAR bias/variance trade-off explicitly if both are plausible.

Read the full file on GitHub · 94 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 1mo ago First seen · 94 lines · 0 tokens per session scan A 9ccaa5023993

Subscribe to this mod's changes

aejmac-identification is a skill published in the GitHub repository brycewang-stanford/Awesome-Journal-Skills (1,264 stars, last pushed 19d ago), licensed MIT. It costs nothing until one of its globs matches a file; then it loads 1,677 tokens. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-15.

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