hypothesis-generation

hypothesis-generation is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from openscientist-io/openscientist. It costs 13 tokens per session (990 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A method for turning patterns in data and published research into specific hypotheses that can be tested and disproved.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to review existing findings, search PubMed for relevant research papers, identify knowledge gaps, and write hypotheses such as one factor causing another through a stated mechanism.
Why use it?
It helps researchers move from vague observations or rejected ideas to clear explanations supported by evidence and open to testing.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/openscientist-io/openscientist/hypothesis-generation
Any agent
npx skills add openscientist-io/openscientist --skill hypothesis-generation
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/openscientist-io/openscientist

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for hypothesis-generation

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/openscientist-io/openscientist/hypothesis-generation.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/openscientist-io/openscientist/hypothesis-generation)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/openscientist-io/openscientist/hypothesis-generation"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/openscientist-io/openscientist/hypothesis-generation.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>
Per session 13 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 990 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. Scan, not verified.
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00013 $0.00990
Opus 5 $0.00006 $0.00495
Sonnet 5 $0.00003 $0.00198
Haiku 4.5 $0.00001 $0.00099

Measured 6d ago against content hash 3e5f706d9847, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-06, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

hypothesis-generation scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/workflow/hypothesis-generation/SKILL.md · 134 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 134 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Hypothesis Generation

When to Use This Skill

  • After identifying an interesting pattern in the data
  • When a previous hypothesis was rejected (need to generate alternatives)
  • At the start of investigation (bootstrap from literature)
  • When you're stuck and need fresh ideas

The Process

1. Review Current Knowledge

What patterns have been observed?

  • Check the knowledge graph summary
  • What group differences exist?
  • What correlations are surprising?
  • What contradicts expectations?

What has been tested already?

  • Which hypotheses were supported?
  • Which were rejected? (Don't repeat these!)
  • What did negative results tell us?

What does literature say?

  • Search PubMed for relevant papers
  • Extract known mechanisms
  • Identify knowledge gaps

2. Formulate Specific, Testable Hypotheses

Good hypotheses have this structure: "X causes Y via mechanism Z"

Examples:

  • ✅ Good: "Hypothermia increases nucleotide salvage flux by upregulating APRT enzyme activity"
  • ❌ Too vague: "Metabolism changes in hypothermia"
  • ❌ Not testable: "The brain adapts to cold"

Requirements:

  • Must be testable with available data
  • Must be falsifiable (can prove it wrong)
  • Should suggest a specific analysis
  • Should have mechanistic basis (not just correlation)

3. Prioritize Hypotheses

Score each hypothesis on:

Impact (1-5): How central to the research question?

  • 5 = Directly explains the core phenotype
  • 3 = Fills in a mechanistic detail
  • 1 = Minor tangential observation

Feasibility (1-5): Can we test it with current data?

  • 5 = Have all required variables
  • 3 = Can construct proxy measure
  • 1 = Missing critical data

Novelty (1-5): Is this a new insight?

  • 5 = No one has asked this before
  • 3 = Refinement of known mechanism
  • 1 = Well-studied question

Coherence (1-5): Fits with existing findings?

  • 5 = Explains contradictions or connects findings
  • 3 = Extends current model
  • 1 = Orthogonal to other findings

Total Priority Score = Impact × 0.4 + Feasibility × 0.3 + Novelty × 0.2 + Coherence × 0.1

Read the full file on GitHub · 134 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 134 lines · 13 tokens per session scan A 3e5f706d9847

Subscribe to this mod's changes

hypothesis-generation is a skill published in the GitHub repository openscientist-io/openscientist (49 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 13 tokens to every session and 990 once invoked, about $0.0001 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-08-30.

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