causal-modeling

causal-modeling is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine. It costs 35 tokens per session (1,094 once invoked), scanned A, original, Apache-2.0.

A research workflow for building a model of how factors in a system influence one another.

In plain words
What is it for?
Use it to identify variables, map cause-and-effect links, connect evidence, study interventions, and document feedback loops.
Why use it?
It brings variables, mechanisms, evidence, possible actions, and validation into one causal graph.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Use it to identify variables, map cause-and-effect links, connect evidence, study interventions, and document feedback loops.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/causal-modeling
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine --skill causal-modeling
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for causal-modeling

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/causal-modeling/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/causal-modeling)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/causal-modeling"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/causal-modeling/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for causal-modeling

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/causal-modeling"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine/causal-modeling.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 35 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 1,094 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe. Third-party audits
  • NVIDIA SkillSpector warn 7 Sept 2026
SkillSpector: 1 finding, up to high

These are SkillSpector’s own severities. On a checked sample its high-severity flags on skills were ~96% false positives — a documented command, a public API, a “never do X” rule — so we show them as a caution to read, not a verdict. Why →

  • high Prompt Injection · line 78
    Hidden instructions were detected in comments or invisible text. These could contain malicious directives. Manual review is recommended.
    Fix: Audit all comments and invisible characters. Remove any instructions that direct the agent to perform unauthorized actions. Use plain, reviewable content.
How audits are shown
Origin original No closer match found in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00035 $0.01094
Opus 5 $0.00017 $0.00547
Sonnet 5 $0.00007 $0.00219
Haiku 4.5 $0.00003 $0.00109

Measured 6d ago against content hash 686aa8c19bc1, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-09, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

causal-modeling scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 6d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

skills/causal-modeling/SKILL.md · 113 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 113 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Causal Modeling

Build causal models for research domains. Identifies variables, maps causal mechanisms, collects supporting evidence, analyzes potential interventions, and validates the resulting causal graph.

Manifest

Level Count Skills
Strategy 5 variable-identification, mechanism-mapping, evidence-collection, intervention-analysis, model-validation
Tactic 3 counterfactual-reasoning, evidence-weighing, feedback-loop-detection
SOP 10 variable-page-creation, mechanism-edge-creation, evidence-linking, contradiction-flagging, confidence-scoring, intervention-page-creation, loop-documentation, model-gap-detection, causal-chain-query, validation-report

Budget Table

Metric Small Medium Large
Variables identified 8 20 40
Causal edges created 15 40 80
Evidence pages linked 10 30 60
Interventions analyzed 2 5 10
Feedback loops documented 1 3 6

Strategy Sequence (Reference, Not Prescription)

  1. variable-identification — identify key variables in the causal system
  2. mechanism-mapping — map causal mechanisms between variables
  3. evidence-collection — gather evidence supporting/refuting causal claims
  4. intervention-analysis — analyze what happens when variables are manipulated
  5. model-validation — validate the causal model for consistency and completeness

MCP Tools Used

  • vault_search — find existing variables and mechanisms
  • vault_add_edge — create causal edges (derived_from, supported_by, contradicts)
  • vault_query_graph — trace causal chains
  • vault_graph_stats — assess model coverage
  • vault_lint — validate structural integrity

Context-Management

Guiding Principles

  • Correlation is not causation. Every causal edge must have mechanistic justification, not just statistical association.
  • Confounders are everywhere. Actively search for confounding variables that could explain observed relationships.
  • Interventions reveal truth. The strongest evidence for causation comes from intervention studies.
  • Feedback loops are the norm. Most real systems have circular causation. Document loops explicitly.
  • Confidence is calibrated. Strong mechanism + strong evidence = high confidence. Weak either = low confidence.

Read the full file on GitHub · 113 lines

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 6d ago First seen · 113 lines · 35 tokens per session scan A 686aa8c19bc1

Subscribe to this mod's changes

causal-modeling is a skill published in the GitHub repository yogsoth-ai/de-anthropocentric-research-engine (449 stars, last pushed today), licensed Apache-2.0. It adds 35 tokens to every session and 1,094 once invoked, about $0.0002 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. No closer match exists in the catalogue, so it is treated as the original; first seen 2026-09-03.

Related

Other skills, from other repositories

omnisci

Run OmniScientist end to end in the OmniScientist CLI using DeepSeek V4 Flash. Turn raw research data (images, signals, audio, video, 3-D, tables, or graphs) and an open direction into perceived evidence, a falsifiable hypothesis, recorded analysis, real citations, a gated candidate paper, PDF, and Overleaf bundle.…

Omni-Scientist/OmniScientist · 145 tokens

lit-review-assistant

Search, summarize, and synthesize economics literature.

brycewang-stanford/Auto-Empirical-Research-Skills · 14 tokens

papers-reading-skill

Evidence-grounded AI research workflow for turning supplied economics, finance, management, and social-science papers or structured records into versioned PaperReading artifacts. Use when Codex must ingest text, Markdown, or a text-based PDF; separate source-grounded claims from researcher analysis; bind findings to…

AOROM/paperreading · 115 tokens

academic-figure-generation

Generates publication-quality academic figures (framework diagrams, pipeline illustrations, system architectures, method overviews) from a paper's method text and a target caption, using a local PaperBanana multi-agent pipeline (Retriever → Planner → Stylist → Visualizer → Critic).

jxtse/scientific-research-skills · 59 tokens

academic-paper-reviewer

Multi-perspective academic paper review with dynamic reviewer personas. Simulates 5 independent reviewers (EIC + 3 peer reviewers + Devil's Advocate) with field-specific expertise. Supports full review, re-review (verification), quick assessment, methodology focus, Socratic guided, and calibration modes. Triggers on…

zi-yue-1129/research-lab-skills · 104 tokens

research-log

Record, manage, and query research experiment logs. Use when the user wants to log an experiment result, amend an existing entry, view recent logs, rebuild the index, or plan, execute, repeat, or diagnose research in a project containing docs/researchlog/. Triggers on phrases like "log this experiment", "record…

zi-yue-1129/research-lab-skills · 135 tokens