bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials

bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials is a skill for Claude Code, Codex from PKU-YuanGroup/OpenAI4S. It costs 164 tokens per session (8,298 once invoked), scanned A, a copy of bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials, MIT.

A guide to Bayesian clinical trials, which use prior knowledge together with current trial data to update the probability of outcomes.

In plain words
What is it for?
Planning dose-escalation studies, basket trials, Bayesian platform trials, and analyses that incorporate evidence from earlier studies.
Why use it?
It helps structure dose-finding, outside-data borrowing, and platform-trial decisions while checking how the design behaves through simulation.

Skill for Claude CodeCodex

Written for no agent in particular: nothing here depends on one.

Good fit Planning dose-escalation studies, basket trials, Bayesian platform trials, and analyses that incorporate evidence from earlier studies.

Compare 6 skills from other repositories ↓
Install with agentmods
npx agentmods add skills/pku-yuangroup/openai4s/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials
Install

Getting it into your agent

One page per mod, every tool's command on it. A separate URL per tool would split the same page into five that compete with each other.

Any agent
npx skills add PKU-YuanGroup/OpenAI4S --skill bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials
Clone the repo
git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/PKU-YuanGroup/OpenAI4S

Made for: Claude Code, Codex.

Wrote this? Show the measurements

A badge with what this costs and how it scanned, read live from this page, so it follows the numbers instead of freezing them. Markdown for a README, HTML for a documentation site or a project page.

agentmods badge for bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials

README.md
[![agentmods](https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/pku-yuangroup/openai4s/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials/github.svg)](https://agentmods.dev/skills/pku-yuangroup/openai4s/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials)
Your own site
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/pku-yuangroup/openai4s/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/pku-yuangroup/openai4s/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials/github.svg" alt="Measured on agentmods" height="20"></a>

Or the 80×15 button, for a site that already has a row of RSS and ATOM ones. Only the verdict fits; the numbers stay here.

agentmods 80×15 button for bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials

Your own site · 80×15
<a href="https://agentmods.dev/skills/pku-yuangroup/openai4s/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials"><img src="https://agentmods.dev/badge/skills/pku-yuangroup/openai4s/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials.svg" alt="Reviewed on agentmods" width="80" height="20"></a>
Per session 164 Skills are progressive disclosure: only the name and description are preloaded; the body loads when the skill is used.
When invoked 8,298 The whole file, excluding the scripts and references it only reads on demand.
Security scan A 0 findings. A grade says what 26 rules found in the file — not that it is safe.
Origin 100% copy Near-identical to another mod in the catalogue.
Token cost

What it costs to keep this loaded

Counted locally with the o200k_base tokenizer, which is exact for GPT models; Claude uses its own tokenizer and its counts differ. Treat this as one consistent yardstick across the catalogue rather than a bill. Prices are per million input tokens.

ModelPer sessionOnce invoked
Fable 5.1 $0.00164 $0.08298
Opus 5 $0.00082 $0.04149
Sonnet 5 $0.00033 $0.01660
Haiku 4.5 $0.00016 $0.00830

Measured 9d ago against content hash 500ed67a0ad0, method: parsed. Prices are Anthropic first-party input rates as of 2026-09-12, from the pricing page.

Security

Grade A, and why

bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials scanned grade A with 0 findings against 26 rules in 11 categories — prompt injection, anti-refusal, data exfiltration, privilege escalation, supply chain, agent snooping, system-prompt leakage, SSRF and excessive agency — measured 9d ago.

A static scan of the body, not an audit. Every finding is printed with the line that produced it so you can judge whether it matters here. A mod is markdown that instructs an agent; that is exactly why what it instructs is worth reading.

Nothing flagged

None of the 26 patterns this scan looks for appear in this file: no shell pipes, no recursive deletes, no credential paths, no hidden text, no instruction-override or anti-refusal phrasing, no agent-config snooping. That is not a guarantee, it is the absence of the things that are checkable.

Origin

This is a copy

100% identical to bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials — 12 lines differ, which has more behind it and is treated as the original. This page carries a canonical link to it rather than competing with it.

skills/bioskills/bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials/SKILL.md · 493 lines

How it starts

The opening of the file, as written. The whole thing — 493 lines — stays where its author put it; the contents beside it link to each section on GitHub.

Version Compatibility

Reference examples tested with: R RBesT 1.7+ (Roche), OncoBayes2 0.8+ (Novartis), BOIN 2.7+, dfcrm 0.2-2+, escalation 0.1+, trialr 0.1.6+, bayesDP, psborrow2 (FDA-supported), rstan / cmdstanr, brms. Legacy: JAGS, WinBUGS.

Before using code patterns, verify installed versions match. If versions differ:

  • R: packageVersion('<pkg>') then ?function_name
  • Confirmatory regulatory work: validate against pinned package versions in submission

If code throws an error, introspect the installed package and adapt the example to match the actual API rather than retrying.

Bayesian Clinical Trials

"Design a Bayesian clinical trial" -> Specify a prior, likelihood, and decision rule with frequentist operating characteristics demonstrated via simulation; for dose-finding use FDA-endorsed BOIN; for borrowing use robust MAP priors; for adaptive platforms use posterior probability of efficacy stopping with simulation-calibrated thresholds.

Regulatory Status -- The 2024-2026 Bayesian Pivot

FDA 2010 CDRH Bayesian Devices Guidance (Feb 5 2010): the only Bayesian-specific FDA guidance until January 2026. Why devices were ahead: CDRH's PMA pathway permits one pivotal trial and accepts borrowing from prior/OUS data more readily than CDER. Example: Edwards SAPIEN (PARTNER B, PMA P100041, Nov 2011) was approved on a single randomized pivotal trial (TAVR vs standard therapy in inoperable patients); the later SAPIEN 3 intermediate-risk PMA used a propensity-score comparison of a single-arm cohort against PARTNER IIA surgical controls -- illustrating CDRH's acceptance of non-randomized/borrowed comparisons.

FDA January 2026 CDER Bayesian Methodology Draft (FDA-2025-D-3217; comment period closed March 13 2026): first-ever drug-side Bayesian guidance. Explicit that Bayesian primary inference in pivotals is acceptable provided:

  • Prospective specification
  • Simulation-based operating characteristics (including frequentist Type-I error under null scenarios — agency still wants calibration)
  • Justified priors
  • Code/data sufficient for FDA replication

Read the full file on GitHub · 493 lines

Files

What ships with it

2 files beside SKILL.md in the same directory: the scripts, references and assets a skill reads on demand. Not counted in the per-session cost; read them before you install if any of them is executable.

Changes

What this file has done since we first saw it

Hashed on every crawl. A supply-chain change to an agent config is a question of when, not whether, so the history is kept rather than the latest state alone.

  1. 9d ago First seen · 493 lines · 164 tokens per session scan A 500ed67a0ad0

Subscribe to this mod's changes

bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials is a skill published in the GitHub repository PKU-YuanGroup/OpenAI4S (407 stars, last pushed yesterday), licensed MIT. It adds 164 tokens to every session and 8,298 once invoked, about $0.0008 per session on Opus 5. A static security scan graded it A with 0 findings. It is 100% identical to bio-clinical-biostatistics-bayesian-trials, differing in 12 lines, and is treated as a copy.

Related

Other skills, from other repositories

boltz-structure-prediction

Boltz-1 / Boltz-2 structure prediction for proteins, complexes, and ligand-aware validation. Use this skill when: (1) Predicting protein complex structures, (2) Validating designed binders, (3) Need open-source alternative to AF2, (4) Predicting protein-ligand complexes, (5) Using local GPU resources. For QC…

zongtingwei/Bioclaw_Skills_Hub · 121 tokens

imaging-data-commons

Query and download public cancer imaging data from NCI Imaging Data Commons using idc-index. Use for accessing large-scale radiology (CT, MR, PET) and pathology datasets for AI training or research. No authentication required. Query by metadata, visualize in browser, check licenses.

synthetic-sciences/openscience · 62 tokens

flow-cytometry-analysis

Complete flow cytometry analysis pipeline. FCS file handling, compensation, manual/automated gating, immunophenotyping, CFSE proliferation analysis, cell cycle analysis (Dean-Jett-Fox), and apoptosis assays. Extends flowio with analytical workflows. For raw FCS parsing only use flowio.

synthetic-sciences/openscience · 67 tokens

scientific-critical-thinking

Evaluate scientific claims and evidence quality. Use for assessing experimental design validity, identifying biases and confounders, applying evidence grading frameworks (GRADE, Cochrane Risk of Bias), or teaching critical analysis. Best for understanding evidence quality, identifying flaws. For formal peer review…

xintaofei/codeg · 63 tokens

cellxgene-census

Query the CELLxGENE Census (61M+ cells) programmatically. Use when you need expression data across tissues, diseases, or cell types from the largest curated single-cell atlas. Best for population-scale queries, reference atlas comparisons. For analyzing your own data use scanpy or scvi-tools.

synthetic-sciences/openscience · 67 tokens

glycobiology

Glycosylation site prediction and glycobiology analysis. N-glycosylation motif finding, O-glycosylation hotspot prediction, glycan structure resources. Lightweight, pure Python. For protein function queries use uniprot-database; for structure analysis use alphafold-database.

synthetic-sciences/openscience · 67 tokens